Theory V

 

Who will die in book 6 or book 7 (not including Harry or Voldemort)

The war is on!  The last time that Voldemort and his followers rose to power, many wizards were tortured and we are told that many died.  The Dark Mark was seen too often over homes in the wizarding community.  There will certainly be deaths again.  Will any of the major characters die at the hands of the Death Eaters, Voldemort, or from some other cause?  Rate the probability that any of the following characters will die in the next two books. Each character can have a score of up to 100%.  I take that back, use any kind of scores you want! LOL

 

1. AlbusDumbledore (He’s very old, even for a wizard)
2. Hermione Granger (JKR has said that she doesn’t understand why her readers aren’t more worried about Hermione.  As a Muggle born, she would be a target for the death eaters)
3. Reubeus Hagrid (Hagrid takes on some very dangerous creatures and has, so far, been lucky to survive.  Hagrid is also a “half-breed” being part giant.  Another DE target)
4. Neville Longbottom (Neville wants revenge for his parents.  He may do something rash that he won’t survive)
5. Remus Lupin (As a member of the Order, he will have dangerous jobs to do.  Lupin is a werewolf, again a target for the DE’s)
6. Lucius Malfoy (Will he escape Azkaban in one piece? Will the Aurors or Hit Wizards get him?)
7. Mad Eye Moody (Too many years of Constant Vigilance, will it fail him?)
8. Nymphadora Tonks (She young, strong and brave. Will she die defending the wizarding world against the dark side)
9. Molly Weasley (Many on this board think she is next)
10. Arthur Weasley (Molly has envisioned all of her family dead.  Will it be Arthur?)
11. Ron Weasley (Almost nothing could hurt Harry more than the loss of his best friend)
12. Percy Weasley (What side is he on? Does his supposed neutrality make him more vulnerable)
13. Other________________________??????

 

Andi's crazy math:

Albus Dumbledore 43% I mean, I think he's going to die and they will have to fend for themselves, but some part of me doesn't believe it.

Hermione Granger 21.3% JKR doesn't want to kill herself

Reubeus Hagrid 86% He was my bet for Book Five. I believe him being a giant has something to do with it. A Death Eater perhaps will try to get him on their side, but when he refuses: Avada Kedvera.

Neville Longbottom 9% Eh- no

Remus Lupin 70% Being a werewolf will start to wear on him, he will be drained of power. Either he will commit suicide or he'll die slowly and painfully

Lucius Malfoy 1% Eh- no

Mad Eye Moody .1% NO

Nymphadora Tonks 28% God, I hope she doesn't die.

Molly Weasley 10% I don't think she'll die, but I want her to.

Arthur Weasley 50% Greater risk

Ron Weasley 21% Something telling me "no"

Percy Weasley 92% Bye bye, Birdy

Other:

McGonagall 97% I have a feeling that she'll die

I noticed that Harry was left off of the list, so I'll add him to mine.

- Harry Potter : 60% I'd give it only 20% chance, but JKR might do this just to piss me off. I really see him defeating Voldy, getting married and raising a son - named Albus.

- Albus Dumbledore : 90% in book 7, 80% in book 6. Personally, I think that the body of D'dore will die, but Godric Gryffindor (aka Dumbledore) will continue to live on as a new Wizard as I believe he has done all this time.

- Hermione Granger : 0%

- Reubeus Hagrid : 30%. I gave him 100% for dying in book 5, but now that he lived through that, I'm just not sure if she'll kill him now.

- Neville Longbottom : 10%, but I think he'll avenge his parent's on the people responsible.

- Remus Lupin : 20%

- Lucius Malfoy : 80%. I see one of the Weasleys getting him, just after Lucius kills Arthur.

- Mad Eye Moody : 50%. I see him being Harry's mentor after Voldy is gone.

- Nymphadora Tonks : 50%.

- Molly Weasley : 10%. She's the next Minister.

- Arthur Weasley : 70%. killed by Lucius (above).

- Ron Weasley : 0%

- Percy Weasley : 70%

- Other : Fudge : 80%. My bet is that a Dementor will kill him.




Dad-Eye,

1. AlbusDumbledore - 95% He has to, not only because he's so old, but also because he can't be there to protect Harry from Voldemort in the end.
2. Hermione Granger - 50% No idea, it could go either way with her. I don't find her all that annoying, so I don't really care.
3. Reubeus Hagrid - 75% He's close to Harry, and, as metnioned, a half breed and therefore a target. The only thing that makes him unlikely to be killed is the thing about how his skin repels curses, then again, this could make him an even bigger target, almost like something the DE could brag about.
4. Neville Longbottom -15% I just can't see Neville Dieing... hmmm, that's what everyone said about Sirius...
5. Remus Lupin - 60% He is the last of the Maurderers, and wasn't there something that someone noticed about the way that their names were listed in the order that they die? ... And Lupin was next? He is also a target, both because of being in the OotP and being a half breed
6. Lucius Malfoy - 65% just a gut feeling
7. Mad Eye Moody - 55% I don't think so, he's obviosly good to have lasted this long, although he might be a target because of how many DE he has taken out.
8. Nymphadora Tonks - 35% I don't think it's very likely that she will, she is kind of the "new generation" In my opinion, the "old generation" may all die, you now, like they have already fought their battles, and it will be up to the younger people, does that make sense?
9. Molly Weasley -50% Not sure, and don't really care to much one way or the other
10. Arthur Weasley - 10% I don't think he will die, I think he will stay alive and become minister
11. Ron Weasley - 25% Possible, but unlikely, although he will be a huge target, he is just to important
12. Percy Weasley - 75% Die DAMMIT Die!!!!
13. Harry - 65% mostly because I looked at the theory about "will Harry die in book7?" an thats what i put.

   

Albus Dumbledore- 20% Rowling needs him for the end of all the storys, he pulls all the information together for us.We'd be totally lost without him

Hermione Granger 50/50 theyre would be no way for her to be in harms way, unless Voldemort and his DE stage a fight somehow inside hogwarts(which would be TOTALLY awesome) but besides that, unless she and the other students go off galavanting to the department of mysteries again, shes pretty much safe.

Reubeus Hagrid 60% he's everyones favorite giant, whos more perfect to break everyones heart then hagrids death. I think its kinda likely.

Neville Longbottom- That depends alot on the prophecy.If hes the one, then he has to fight Voldy.

Remus Lupin(my FAVORITE character) 89% I think this is very likely, if he is ever caught alone with Wormtail(he has a silver hand..silver-warewolf=bad) I think this will happen, but someone will save him at the last minute.hopefully

Lucius Malfoy 50% He could be killed..but if Rowling did kill him off, it wouldnt be a huge murder...because no one would care.

Mad Eye Moody - eh..probably not.

Nymphadora Tonks 70% being part of the Order, we'll defiantly see alot more of her, and probably come to know and like her character more, right now, everyone thinks shes cool, but shes not one of the ones that we really know alot about.when we do, She has a likely chance being as brave as she is.

Molly Weasley - AWWW not mrs.Weasley!!

Arthur Weasley - no i dont think so...

Ron Weasley - Same as herimone.

Percy Weasley - Hes a little prick right now, I dont care if he does or not.

Harry himself 90% at the very end of the series, If he is the one, then I think, Voldmort is going to strike him somewhere(but not kill him imediatly) Harry, weak but still alive.. taking all his energy, does something to back to voldy and kills him on the spot, later dying himself. If Neville is the one(The story I think Rowling will take) then its the same only with him.

Albus Dumbledore: 90%

Hermione Granger:20%

Rubeus Hagrid:40%

Neville Longbottom:19%

Remus Lupin:19%

Lucius Malfoy:50%

Mad-Eye-Moody:20%

Nympadoa Tonks:20%

Molly Weasly: 30%

Aurthor Weasly:20%

Ron Weasly: 20%

Percy Weasly:25%

Other Peoples: 99%

 

it seems to me that the people close to harry are being picked off one at a time. first his parents and now sirius. i think that lupin will become even closer to harry. lupin is harry's closest connection to memories of his parents. and Molly Weasley is a pretty likely person to me too because, as she said in OOTP, harry is a good as her family.
so these are my thoughts:

Lupin-50%
Molly Weasley-50?%
Tonks-25% [just because she's really clumsy]

I know that's more than 100% sorry.


*it's only funny until someone gets hurt.....THEN IT'S HILARIOUS!*

Albus Dumbledore 10% in 6th 80% in 7th I can't see the wizarding world being at war without him, but i have a feeling he'll die at the very end

Hermione Granger- I don't see any of Harry's very close friends dieing in the 6th but in the 7th i'll have to say 65%

Reubeus Hagrid- I'm not really sure I thought if he was going to die it would have been by now but the Malfoys hate him so much so 50%

Neville Longbottom- No, hes not the one from the prophecy Dumbledore made that clear I don't think the Death Eaters find him to be a threat or a use 2%

Remus Lupin- I think Rowling will want to keep one of Jame's old friends around to kind of fill in as a father figure for Harry, but since the Ministry is going to be cracking down on dark creatures he may be in trouble because a typical aurour(forgive my spelling) will not know what side hes on if he's in wolf form so i don't know 50%

Lucius Malfoy- Voldemort is covering his back so definitly not in the 6th (5%) but possibly in the 7th(55%)

Mad Eye Moody- I think the Death Eaters are after him, he put so many in Azkaban and Voldemort will want to show the Order even the most alert are not safe 80%

Nymphadora Tonks- No I think she'll stay around I don't know why just kind of a hunch 10%

Molly Weasley- See Tonks

Arthur Weasley- Since he has such a passion for muggles and has made a lot of enmies with "reformed" Death Eaters who have now returned to Voldemort he will definitly be a major target 65%

Ron Weasley- See Hermione

Percy Weasley- I think he understands he was wrong, will ask for forgiveness and it will be accepted, which makes him a target, plus always being around the minister will also put him in danger 40%

Albus Dumbledore 40%
Remus Lupin 40%
Lucius Malfoy 2%
Molly Weasley 18%

Harry is going to die though so I'm not putting him on cause he'd get 100% for me and I think some of these other pple are going to die, too.

-------------------

"if you let them make you; they'll make
you paper mache; at a distance you're
strong; until the wind comes; then you
crumble and blow away"

kudos to sam, she seems to be the only one on here that can add to 100, im sure this puts all your calculations out of wack.....or what if a few of them die....

Lupin 25%

Pettegrew 75%

I believe another marauder will be deafeated.

 

"Not everything that can be counted counts, and not everything that counts can be counted."
- Albert Einstein (1879-1955)

1. AlbusDumbledore 95% - He can't protect Harry forever
2. Hermione Granger 5% - Just can't see her dying
3. Reubeus Hagrid 10% - He's not really a threat to the death eaters, IMO 
4. Neville Longbottom 5% - Too tragic
5. Remus Lupin 70% - Unfortunately, Remus has become by default the next father figure for Harry, a job that doesn't have a very good track record.  
6. Lucius Malfoy 50% He's the guy we love to hate. It could go either way. 
7. Mad Eye Moody 10%
8. Nymphadora Tonks 50%
9. Molly Weasley 10% Not worth it to kill her 
10. Arthur Weasley 60% One of them has to die eventually 
11. Ron Weasley 2% WAY TOO TRAMAUTIC 
12. Percy Weasley 20%

____________________________________________

"I hope that after I die, people will say of me: 'That guy sure owed me a lot of money.'" --Jack Handey

AlbusDumbledore 99.9 %

Hermione Granger 60%, though I wish it would be more so.

Reubeus Hagrid 50 %

Neville Longbottom 10 % - I have a feeling Neville will be successful.

Remus Lupin 80%

Lucius Malfoy 90% chance he'll die, though I hope he takes out Molly and Arthur before he gets it.

Mad Eye Moody 10%

Nymphadora Tonks 5%

Molly Weasley 100%! I am hopeful!

Ron Weasley 40%

Percy Weasley 75% chance he's going to die in a turnaround. He'll change his mind and back out the way Regelus Black did.

Other: Ones I think will die without any doubt: Bellatrix, Kreacher, Crabbe or Goyle, Cho, Peter Petigrew, Umbridge, Grawp.

Locke, I was wrong actually lol. I didn't read all the rules and it was said we can use any percentage we want, it didn't have to equal 100. Oops. Oh well, I'm keeping mine... All the others I don't think would die so they get 0% from me and Harry gets 100%.

-------------------

"if you let them make you; they'll make
you paper mache; at a distance you're
strong; until the wind comes; then you
crumble and blow away"

1. Albus Dumbledore: 25%: I don’t see him dying (at least not in book 6… at most he can die at the very end of book 7)
2. Hermione Granger 50% well, since Hermione should be JK, I don’t think she’ll die. Then again, she’s smart and is therefore needed more than Ron in a battle against Voldy: it’ll be worse for Harry.
3. Reubeus Hagrid 60% he’s a good friend of Harry’s; he takes on some very dangerous creatures, he’s a “half-breed” being part giant. Another DE target)
4. Neville Longbottom 40% I dunno…
5. Remus Lupin 20% (book6) and 80% (book7)I think before dying he’s going to kill Pettigrew (Moony-Wormtail-Padfoot-Prongs: read backwards they give the order in which they die). Then he’ll die in book 7.
6. Lucius Malfoy 0% (book 6) 89% (book7): it’d be too easy if JK kills off Voldy’s right hand man before the war’s over. But he has to die in the end!!!
7. Mad Eye Moody 10% nope, don’t see him dying.
8. Nymphadora Tonks 80% I dunno why but I see her dying… sorry!
9. Molly Weasley Um… difficult. I’d say 79%: she’s the thing closer to a mom to Harry, not to mention she is the one that keeps the Weasley children together. Very good target for the DE
10. Arthur Weasley 8% he’ll become the next Minister, and I somehow see him surviving.
11. Ron Weasley I like Ron very much, but I’ll give him 85%. He’s close to Harry, and he’s very liked by readers (just like poor Sirius!)
12. Percy Weasley 56%. Nope, don’t see him dying too much. I mean, first of all, it would make the readers HAPPY, and JK wants surprises. I could picture most of the Weasleys dead, after they fought bravely, and him, switching sides and insulting DD, alive and healthy. Or, he could really have been undercover for DD and *he’s* the one who’s going to die bravely.
13. Peter Pettigrew: see Lupin. I know it would make the readers happy but he has to die… he just has to.
14. Snape: 75%. I think at the very end he’ll die (good or bad it matters not: if he’s good he’ll die battling Voldy, if he’s bad killed by Ron! *it would be his dream come true*)

Gosh, I’m pessimistic! I’ve killed just about everyone except Arthur Weasley and Mad-Eye Moody!!!!!



D.B.N.G.T.M.
Sirius i luv you
Bellatrix DEAD!!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
"They run off eckeltricity, do they?" said
Mr. Weasley knowledgeably. "Ah yes, I can
see the plugs. I collect plugs," he added to
Uncle Vernon."And batteries. Got a very
large collection of batteries. My wife
thinks I'm mad, but there you are."
-GoF-
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Quotes:

"It is our choices that make us who we are. Not our abilities."- Albus Dumbledore

"There is no excuse for looking down on someone, unless you're helping them up."- Rev. Jesse Jackson

“Whatever you are looking for is in you (the rest is still in the fridge)” Comix

"Just remember: If the world didn't suck, we'd all fall off." Jewels of Wisdom

Dumbledoor: 96%
Tonks: 50%
Mrs. Weasly: 48%
Mr. Weasly: 33%
Hermione: 89%
Ron: 7%
Fred/George: 0%-i have got to say there is no way they are gonna die
Percy:101%-he is so gone
lupin: 99%-i am sure he will go just like his best friends
Peter: 7%-i just highly doubt he will die
lucias: 2%
snape: 60%

I am so positive that Fread/George WONT die and I am SUPER SUPER positve Percy will that stupid git.

~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~-~
*"You two," Umbridge says, gazing down at Fred and George, "are about to learn what happens to wrongdoers at my school."
"You know what?" said Fred. "I don't think we are."
He turned to his twin.
"George," said Fred, "I think we've outgrown full-time education."
"Yeah, I've been feeling that way myself," said George lighty.
"Time to test our talents in the real world, d'you reckon?" asked Fred.
"Definitely," said George.
And before Umbridge could say a word, they raised their wands and and said together, "Accio Brooms!"
"We won't be seeing you," Fred told Professor Umbridge, swinging his leg over the broom.
"Yeah, don't bother keeping in touch," said George, mounting his own.
"STOP THEM!" shrieked Umbridge, but it was too late.As the Inquisitorial Squad closed in, Fred and George kicked off from the ground and shot fifteen feet in the air. Fred looked across the hall at the poltergeist bobbing on his level above the crowd.
"Give her hell from us, Peeves."
And Peeves, whom Harry had never seen take an order from a student before, swept his belled hat from his head and sprang to a salute as Fred and George wheeled about to tumultous applause from the students below and sped out of the open front door into the glorius sunset.*

Albus Dumbledore 32%

Hermione Granger 0%

Reubeus Hagrid 11%

Neville Longbottom 99%

Remus Lupin 12%

Lucius Malfoy 99%

Mad Eye Moody 18%

Nymphadora Tonks 27%

Molly Weasley 34%

Arthur Weasley 1%

Ron Weasley 13%

Percy Weasley 99%

Fudge 99%