A change of leadership in Cairo will have major implications for the Middle East, particularly Israel.
July 115, 2010
By Brad Macdonald
Citing a source in Lebanon, German news agency Deutsche Presse Agentur reported this week that Egypts President Hosni Mubarak will travel to Munich Friday for 10 days of medical treatment. While Egypt denies the report, there is no doubt Mubarak is not the picture of health. The Egyptian president is believed to be in the advanced stages of cancer, and his health is reported to have deteriorated significantly in recent weeks.
Mubarak is a walking corpse, one senior Arab diplomat remarked recently. Everybody around him is trying to give the impression that hes a spring chicken, another stated, but the truth is he is heavily drugged, particularly before he appears with visitors or in public. Naturally, rumors of Mubaraks imminent death have raised questions about his replacement and the future of Egypt. These are important questions.
Both politically and prophetically, the installment of Mubaraks successor will mark a sea change in Egypt and the entire Middle East!
Although he hasnt announced it officially, it is widely known that Mubarak has groomed his son Gamal to replace him as president. Despite Mubaraks wishes, however, a smooth transition of power is unlikely. Gamal has strong ties with Egypts business community, but his relationship with the militarythe instrument by which his father has maintained his 30-year vice-like grip on Egyptis much more tenuous.
Mubarak has made many enemies over the years and is widely resented, both among the elite and at the grassroots level. Mubaraks death, and the political chaos that will inevitably follow it, is just the opportunity his opponents are waiting for. Lacking support from the military, Gamal will find it difficult to continue his fathers practice of persecuting and policing dissenters and political opponents.
The party best positioned to gain from Mubaraks death is the Muslim Brotherhood. Banned from government in 1954, the MB is an organization of staunch Islamic conservatives with strong ties to Iran and a desire to install Islamic law as the foundation of Egyptian government. Before parliamentary elections in 2005, in which it gained 20 percent of the seats in parliament, the Brotherhoods campaign motto was Islam is the solution.
Since February, the Brotherhoods image and popularity has received an added boost, helping the MB to peak politically just as Mubarak appears to be on his way out. This boost is the result of an embrace with Egypt-born Mohamed ElBaradei, the internationally recognized Nobel laureate and former director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency. In February, after 12 years of living and working in sophisticated Europe, ElBaradei returned to spend some time in Egypt. While traveling through the rundown cities and villages of his homeland, ElBaradei says he was shaken by the backwardness of my country, deeply moved by the peoples palpable desire for change, overpowered by the sympathy and enthusiasm I was met with. When the Mubarak regime noticed his popularity and launched a smear campaign against him, ElBaradei realized he had no other choice than to become politically active.
Over the last six months, ElBaradei and his National Movement for Reformwhich has at least 15,000 supporters and has fanned out and begun spreading the word in villages and cities across the countryhave grown increasingly popular. In June, ElBaradei led roughly 4,000 people in a protest against the strong-arm tactics of the Mubarak regime. He has also developed a robust presence on the Internet, where he is out of the reach of Mubaraks censors. Already ElBaradei has nearly 30,000 permanent users on his website and more than a quarter of a million followers for each of his Facebook pages.
This is an historical moment for Egypt, he says. Things are starting to move in my country.
It is especially noteworthy that in an effort to expand his fan base, ElBaradei has extended his hand to Islamists within the Muslim Brotherhood. I have spoken with representatives of the Muslim Brotherhood, ElBaradei confirmed in a recent interview with Der Spiegel. We discussed the struggle against Mubarak, he admitted. On its English-language website this week, the MB announced that it has received tremendous support for its petition supporting Elbaradeis change platform in Egypt. Beyond adding moral and political legitimacy to the MB, ElBaradeis willingness to embrace the anti-Israel, pro-Iran Islamic party reveals a lot about his moral and political leanings.
Its difficult to forecast how successful Elbaradei will be in his bid to become Egypts next president. But one thing is certain: The embrace of the Muslim Brotherhood by the internationally recognized figure has helped position the Islamic party to make significant political gains in the event of Mubaraks death, which now appears imminent.
The death of Mubarak and the installation of an Islamic government in Cairo would have monumental implications for the Middle East. First and foremost, it would be a huge victory for regional hegemon Iran. Tehran would not only gain an ally, it would gain a foothold on the southern border of its sworn enemy. It is impossible to overstate how much Israels safety, and the entire security equation of the Middle East, has hinged on Egypts willingness to uphold its 1979 peace treaty with Israel.
Indeed, for three decades, leaders of the Jewish state have rested comfortably knowing that although they were surrounded by an arc of Islamic hatred, Israels border with Egypt was secure. The only thing that could threaten the survival of Israel, apart from a nuclear barrage, would be a shift in position of neighboring states, wrote Stratfor ceo George Friedman (emphasis mine). And the single most important neighbor Israel has is Egypt (June 19, 2007). If Egypt abandons its security relationship with the Jewish state and aligns itself with Iranwhich is certain if Islamic lawmakers in the MB gain powerIsrael will experience its worst nightmare.
Israels entire strategic equation will be gutted, leaving the underbelly of the tiny state vulnerable to infiltration and assault from radical Islamists, who will undoubtedly be sponsored by Iran!
For nearly 20 years, the Trumpet has forecast that Mubaraks moderate government in Cairo will be replaced by hardcore Islamists who will quickly align Egypt with the anti-Israel, radical Islamic administration in Tehran. Our editor in chief first said this in the November/December 1990 Trumpet, after the assassination of Egypts speaker of parliament: Egypts President Mubarak could [also] be assassinated . This could radically change Egyptian politics .
By July 1993, Mr. Flurrys prophecy for Egypt had grown even clearer. Islamic extremism is gaining power at a frightening pace in Egypt, he wrote. Commenting on the prophecy in Daniel 11 that speaks of a radical Islamic king of the south, a conglomerate led by Iran, Mr. Flurry continued: This verse [Daniel 11:42] indicates Egypt will be allied with the king of the south. I believe this prophecy in Daniel 11:42 indicates you are about to see a radical change in Egyptian politics!
Why is this radical change in Egyptian politics important? Because it will intensify and speed up the fulfillment of the biblically prophesied events to occur in the Middle East, and in Jerusalem specifically, immediately before Jesus Christs return.