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This topic is based on Deba's idea and aims to predict some possible upsets, just to avoid betting on such games. Of course, we suppose that there will be no arguments between forum members
Please post here, if you see any possible upset.
Its strongly recommend to explain the reason for the suggestion.
Good luck to all!
I DON’T forget that one member has said: class is permanent ,form is temporary.
Cardiff is the class , but looking the form I can say that something changed. last 4 games 1 win-2 draws-1 lost.
As I have read –BBC and other sites- doesn’t play good as before . won very difficult CHELTENHAM(one of the worst in this division) ,lost against HUDDERSFIELD (another not good team).
And today plays against Northampton –also bad-(?) .the home team has 3 following lost games and 1 draw.
Draw against Crewe(the third better home team in D2 ).perhaps the weather conditions helped the team or perhaps played well(3 goals are too much).but I know that home has and new coach without win and is close to relegation zone.
I don’t say that Cardiff cannot win , but in this form and with so low (for me ) odds 1.80-1.90 ,I will avoid betting on this game.
Two interesting games for me:
Perugia v Milan, Wednesday, Italian cup, Home win, odds 3.00
Perugia v Inter 4-1
Juve v Perugia 1-2
Perugia v Juve 2-0
These are results of the home team v big ones last month, on the other side Milan not in perfect form, lost to Udine 0-1, won Modena 2-1, but had problems to score 75 minutes...
Now, the home team motivation will be on the top, this is Italian cup semifinals, their bigest success and chance for Europe after 20+ years!!
Milan on the other hand will concetrate on the league game (the same tye!!) on Sunday, so perhaps we can expect Perugia win in cup and Milan win in the League on Sunday!!
It is two legged semifinals, too.
Leeds v WestHam (+1) 2.55- I cant see West Ham losing this one, Leeds are crap and cant score, Hammers are good away, drawing quite often lately, os 02 here.
Another one perhaps, Real Soc v Espanyol (with Clemente!) 02 pays 3.00 with our bookie!!!
So a treble Perugia-West Ham 02 and Espanyol 02 pays 22.95 here in Slovenia!!
Another thing learned..... but I don't know if this can be explained psychicaly like home team players relaxing too much when seing that away team is so bad or something similar??!?! I have already experienced this kind of game this season but I don't know why is it happening.
Laval was a big shock. Chateauroux had signed 3 players who play/have played in Div1. There must have been a lot of money on Chateauroux since odds had taken a huge dive the last 2 days.
to start avoiding games like this one.Its miracle what stats can proove.My pick was based on that.Any way thank you all I'm very very lucky today since I try it single @4.5 and single on ht/ft X-2 @9.0.
home team in 6 games 1w-4 draws -1 lOST
3 games home 2 draws 1 lost
Bradford in 6 games 4 w-2 lost
4 away 2 wins-2 lost and except game against Watford scored 2 times in every game.
last year away win
i believe that home team will not win .
Bradford looks in good form . i don;t know yet the latest news.
but if there are not injuries for Bradford , this game will be and my best bet this weekend in Mark's thread(with another in Spain B')
ODDS IN BETINTERNET 2.00 FOR HOME -3.2 FOR AWAY
for me...
O. Lyon - Trouyes
Lyon, strugling at the moment and without their Brasilians Edmilson and Anderson. Trouyes with a win after long time at midweek. Maybe the upset of the day in France tonight.
Man. Utd - Man City
At this local derby and after last very difficult win of Man Utd against Birmingham, something says me that its the time to stop the continous winning row of Man Utd. Man City knows how to do this...
Inter Milan - Reggina
Rediculous odds for home win!!!
Both teams are in excelent form, 5Wins 0Draws 1Lost in last 6. There is no difference between them because Inter genenrate suprises with non top line teams and Reggina do it (see Lazio) when the bookies underrated this team.
Good luck to all!
I have watched Sosiedad, many times this season on tv and the most times played very-very well .In 6 last games 3w-2d-1L. but the last game was bad. Was the first lost game. Was Bilbao too better or Sosiedad is in the beginning of bad form? Home without DE PEDRO and NIHAT (IMPORTANT TURKEY PLAYER)
ESPANYOL with CLEMENTE plays very good. And 4 last games -is my favorite team in betting-didn’t lose. Against famous Real could win. today Without problems. So I believe that we must wait about Sosiedad ‘s form and of course we must pay attention Espaniol’s good form. It’s a game for avoiding (for me)if i 'd like home win.
And something remarkable from last years
1994-95: 2-0 (h)
1995-96: 0-1 (a)
1996-97: 1-0 (h)
1997-98: 2-0 (h)
1998-99: 1-2 (a)
1999-00: 1-0 (h)
2000-01: 2-1 (h)
2001-02: 1-0 (h)
2002-2003 ?( SYMMETRY IS AWAY WIN)
good luck all of you….
This topic started with excelent Deki's pick of Laval's away win. Both me and Deba had good suggestions about teams to avoid betting on their home win. Because of there was only few posts i am thinking to start the next topic without time limit. Deba what you say about this?
We hope that members found some good info here...
I believe that you must do, anything you believe is better, sure I will be with you my friend, but you are right only few members took part in this thread,
but never mind….
Now I ‘d like to write something I have just checked from results’ games this Weekend : from
England (prem-d1-d2-d3-com)
Scotland (prem-d1-d2-d3
Germany (d1-d2
France (d1-d2
Spain (d1-d2
Belgium (Jupiter
Holland
Portugal (superliga
All about 170 games. and 70 games with low odds (local bookmaker) 1.10 –1.85 (bankers is it the right name?)
48 bankers didn’t win. do you know how many of all of us waited , Liverpool ,Man.U and Sociedad , Paris S.G , Auxerre Lyon Barcelona to be paid ?
Do you know what does it mean? I think I know, betting is a difficult and expensive ‘sport’.
Are bookmakers unbeaten ?…no they are not …
I will continue in this thread to mail my opinion .
i want to help others and I want to help me others.
And I am very very impatient for the next mailed thread for :treble, double ,single , view ….
Because i don't feel so good starting a new topic seeing that this one has not gone at second page of the forum and having only a few posts, i would like to ask from Jhim or Mark to remove the time limitation "feb4 - feb10".
Thanks in advance mates!
