I'll start with the system. Odds are from gamebookers (most from monday). 4 units are staked for Belgium, Germany and the Netherlands. 5 units are staked for Italy. Cottbus was picked for the system due to current form, relegation threatened Cottbus and the big lead of Bayern Munich in the german league. I'll post my bets for the weekend tomorrow.

Belgium
Calculated Bookmaker odds Difference Prediction
1 X 2 1 X 2 1 X 2
Louvieroise Genk 25 19 56 3.75 3.35 1.80 -0.28 -1.82 0.01 2
Anderlecht Charleroi 77 7 16 1.25 5.00 8.00 -0.05 -9.19 1.70 otl
Germinal Westerlo 45 23 32 1.85 3.25 3.70 -0.40 -1.02 0.58 1x2
Lierse Gent 56 17 28 1.80 3.30 3.80 0.01 -2.72 0.16 1
Lokeren Mechelen 78 11 11 0.00 0.00 0.00 -1.29 -8.80 -9.0 no odds
Lommel Beveren 34 18 48 2.20 3.40 2.70 -0.71 -2.22 0.61 1x2
Bergen Mouscron 51 17 32 2.00 3.30 3.15 0.03 -2.44 0.00 1
St Truiden Standard 42 39 20 2.10 3.25 2.95 -0.30 0.65 -2.09 x
Club Brugge Antwerp 83 8 9 1.15 6.50 10.00 -0.05 -6.00 -1.43 otl

Germany
Calculated Bookmaker odds Difference Prediction
1 X 2 1 X 2 1 X 2
Munich 1860 Kaiserslautern 50 22 28 2.00 3.25 3.45 0.02 -1.37 -0.14 1
Bielefeld Stuttgart 19 28 53 2.50 3.25 2.55 -2.79 -0.36 0.68 2
Bochum Hannover 46 25 29 1.90 3.30 3.70 -0.27 -0.64 0.20 1x2
Cottbus Bayern Munich 21 18 61 4.45 3.50 1.70 -0.28 -2.17 0.07 1
Dortmund Hansa Rostock 54 23 23 1.50 3.75 6.00 -0.36 -0.54 1.63 otl
M'Gladbach Schalke 04 23 21 56 2.75 3.25 2.35 -1.59 -1.56 0.57 2
Hamburg Hertha 36 27 37 2.05 3.20 3.35 -0.74 -0.52 0.67 1x2
Leverkusen Werder Bremen 38 19 43 2.30 3.25 2.80 -0.31 -2.12 0.48 1x2
Nurnberg Wolfsburg 41 24 35 2.05 3.40 3.15 -0.36 -0.77 0.26 1x2

Italy
Calculated Bookmaker odds Difference Prediction
1 X 2 1 X 2 1 X 2
Brescia Bologna 38 37 25 2.15 2.90 3.40 -0.50 0.22 -0.59 x
Chievo Torino 56 30 15 1.38 4.10 7.50 -0.41 0.71 0.66 otl
Juventus Inter 50 24 27 2.08 3.00 3.50 0.06 -1.23 -0.23 1
Milan Atalanta 50 31 19 1.33 4.25 8.75 -0.66 1.03 3.38 otl
Parma Modena 42 31 26 1.60 3.40 5.50 -0.76 0.19 1.72 otl
Perugia Lazio 24 37 39 2.55 3.05 2.60 -1.57 0.34 0.02 x
Piacenza Como 37 31 32 1.55 3.60 5.50 -1.17 0.39 2.39 1x2
Reggina Udinese 25 25 49 2.25 3.10 3.00 -1.68 -0.82 0.96 2
Roma Empoli 39 37 24 1.45 3.70 7.00 -1.12 1.02 2.79 x


Netherlands
Calculated Bookmaker odds Difference Prediction
1 X 2 1 X 2 1 X 2
Roosendaal Willem II 38 14 48 2.65 3.20 2.35 0.00 -3.73 0.26 1x2
Graafschap Roda JC 19 15 66 3.15 3.25 2.05 -2.04 -3.53 0.53 2
Excelsior Waalwijk 25 22 54 2.75 3.25 2.25 -1.32 -1.31 0.38 2
Heerenveen PSV 21 23 56 4.00 3.30 1.78 -0.71 -1.14 0.00 2
Twente AZ Alkmaar 36 32 32 2.05 3.25 3.15 -0.72 0.11 0.0 x
Ajax Vitesse 65 14 21 1.30 4.65 7.75 -0.23 -2.53 2.97 otl
Feyenoord NAC Breda 55 33 12 1.30 4.65 7.75 -0.52 1.60 -0.33 otl
Groningen Zwolle 44 25 31 1.78 3.40 3.85 -0.50 -0.57 0.63 1x2

I've decided to play all 3 of my system picks.

I play Roda cause of the huge odds advantage according to my system over the bookmaker. 1 unit @ 2.10 (2.05 on monday).

I play Genk due to Belgophil's confirmation. 1 unit @ 1.85 (1.80 on monday).

Last bet for today will be St Truiden - Standard X @ 3.25
, due to the 39% calculated draw chance (first time so high fo belgium game).

OK, hopefully we can the bookies today.

I don't know if it is cause I'm influenced by yesterday's results but I've decided to not play any further bets for this weekend from these leagues. (except a small fun bet Cottbus win, Twente X @ 14.5)

I allready played Monaco in the French league, which seems even more certain then Genk and Roda yesterday. Hopefull at least that one won't disappoint.

The system worked again and very well even. Except of course for the german league. Friday's losses were turned into a profit. Draws in Italy again performed very well 2/3.

From next week on I'll change the setup of the thread a bit. I plan to take out all bets the system takes out due to either uncertain results or too low odds.

Rest will remain the same except for a short explanation on why some of the system picks were chosen as bets.

Ok the results for this weekend

The system

Belgium

Staked [units] 4
Profit [units] -0.20
Wins [%] 50
Yield [%] -5.0

Germany

Staked [units] 4
Profit [units] -1.45
Wins [%] 25
Yield [%] -36

Italy

Staked [units] 5
Profit [units] 3.03
Wins [%] 60
Yield [%] 60.6

Netherlands

Staked [units] 4
Profit [units] 3.28
Wins [%] 75
Yield [%] 82.0

Total

Staked [units] 17
Profit [units] 4.66
Wins [%] 53
Yield [%] 27.4

Belgium recovered well after the friday with 2/2. Holland recovered even better with 3/3 after the friday.
Germany continues to lose money. I will replace this league with the norwegian league when it starts. Italy league is in profit again as well due to the draws.
Overall a nice profit was made again.

The bets

Ya after the losing friday I didn't bet that much anymore. Cottbus lost making my double lose, but luckily Monaco did the expected. I did make somemoney by playing a very small treble of Stuttgart, Juventus and Lazio X however (after seeing the system performance on saturday).

Result: -3 units

The draws

Italy 2/3
Belgium 0/1
Holland 0/1

The conclusions

I'll start with a summary of the results in these 3 weeks.

Belgium

Staked [units] 13
Profit [units] 1.46
Wins [%] 62
Yield [%] 11.2

Germany

Staked [units] 13
Profit [units] -3.08
Wins [%] 31
Yield [%] -23.7

Italy

Staked [units] 16
Profit [units] 3.93
Wins [%] 44
Yield [%] 24.6

Netherlands

Staked [units] 14
Profit [units] 8.08
Wins [%] 71
Yield [%] 57.7

Total

Staked [units] 56
Profit [units] 10.39
Wins [%] 52
Yield [%] 18.6

All leagues in profit except for the german league. System performs very well so far.

My bets are unfortunately not that good but profitable nonetheless.
2.95 units won out of 20 staked (yield 14.8%)

Results so far for the draws show that the system can't predict them well in belgium, germany and holland.
For italy it performs great thus far. In the last 3 weeks there were 10 games with a chance of more then 33% draw. Of these 10 games 5 ended in a draw.

That's it for this weekend.