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This thread brought winners of 3.20 / 2.10 / 7.50 at the weekend from various contributors so lets see if we can keep it up...I will kick off with
Cheltenham...v...Peterborough ( Div 2 )
At any other time in the season the away win would represent decent value @ 3.50 especially considering the fact that Posh have won 4/5 of their last matches, including decent wins @ Mansfield ( 5-1 ) and Barnsley ( 1-0 ) and the excellent 2-0 win at home to Cardiff.
However the motivational side of things has to be taken into account with Posh now safe from relegation and Cheltenham definately needing a win to keep the pressure up on Chesterfield in their own relegation battle. With this in mind I can not really separate the teams.
However the under @ 1.90 does need some serious contemplation. Posh tend to tackle all their away games with a 5/4/1 formation. Centre halves Arber / Rea / Burton have been playing out of their skin recently resulting in only 3 goals being conceded in their last 6.
In comparison Cheltenham will miss the sevices of Julian Alsop through suspension. The big target man is the Robins main attacking threat both interms of goals and assists. His loss could be a big bonus for A Posh side who do not concede too many at present anyway.
There are some concerns over Burton / Matt Gill ( both defenders from the Posh line up ) who missed Saturdays win against Blackpool. However I am reliably informed that they were rested as precautions on Saturday and should play on Monday.
Copy and pasted from the weekend thread ( hope you dont mind Mulv ). Mulv is the bloke who took Colchester @ 7.50 at the weekend !!!
Coventry...v...Stoke ( Div 1 )
my brother in law supports Coventry - and he ain't a very happy Easter Bunny.I'd read about their 'drop in form'.Drop in form ????? They have been 'king DIRE !!
Last 7 home matches - WonO,Drawn1,LOST6.Now some of those losses were against top sides like Portsmouth.But,come on,1 point in 21 AT HOME ??????
Their away form last 7 = Won1,Drawn2,Lost4.
They are,arguably,just about high enough to escape the drop (unless they get panned every match and Brighton win every match).So maybe they don't feel too threatened - or too urgent (yet).
Stoke City,their opponents,ARE seriously fighting the drop and would be pleased enough with a point.But they are surely aware that Coventry are there for the taking.And their defence has tightened up considerably of late (conceded only 3 goals in last 8 matches).And 4 of those matches were 0-0 draws.
Stoke's last 7 away = Won1,Drawn3,Lost3
Soccerbot's 'current form' guide for this division shows Coventry rock bottom.
The Draw is at 3.5 with some bookies.And OlympicOdds (according to betbrain) give a staggering way-out-of-line 3.35 for away win.Most others around 2.80.
So this is looking like an X2 on my card.
(Oh,and McCallistir may not be fit for Coventry - not sure if that's good or bad news,really !!)
before I post this again ,let me say that I saw Paul,my brother in law (he never misses a Coventry home match) at about 4.30pm today.He reckons - Coventry think they are safe from relegation,are financially in the shit and letting go decent players to save money,are introducing to first team places some 16/17 year olds who were playing park football 8 weeks ago,are wondering where their next point is going to come from ! Here's what I did earlier.BTW,Olympic odds have been slashed !
mulv
(Login muulv)
Fixed Odds Member
let's see how this one goes - COVENTRY April 20 2003, 2:13 PM
my brother in law supports Coventry - and he ain't a very happy Easter Bunny.I'd read about their 'drop in form'.Drop in form ????? They have been 'king DIRE !!
Last 7 home matches - WonO,Drawn1,LOST6.Now some of those losses were against top sides like Portsmouth.But,come on,1 point in 21 AT HOME ??????
Their away form last 7 = Won1,Drawn2,Lost4.
They are,arguably,just about high enough to escape the drop (unless they get panned every match and Brighton win every match).So maybe they don't feel too threatened - or too urgent (yet).
Stoke City,their opponents,ARE seriously fighting the drop and would be pleased enough with a point.But they are surely aware that Coventry are there for the taking.And their defence has tightened up considerably of late (conceded only 3 goals in last 8 matches).And 4 of those matches were 0-0 draws.
Stoke's last 7 away = Won1,Drawn3,Lost3
Soccerbot's 'current form' guide for this division shows Coventry rock bottom.
The Draw is at 3.5 with some bookies.And OlympicOdds (according to betbrain) give a staggering way-out-of-line 3.35 for away win.Most others around 2.80.
So this is looking like an X2 on my card.
(Oh,and McCallistir may not be fit for Coventry - not sure if that's good or bad news,really !!)
Colchester Utd...v...Luton TownWay, way to high for the home win on this one. If you took both teams form from beginning of Feb ( Col U 1 defeat in 16 including excellent 3-0 away win at Cardiff last weekend & Luton 1 win in last 10 ) then the estimated odds would be no more than 1.83.
Luton also have injury crisis meaning Ovendale / Thorpe / Perrett / Hillier will all most probably miss the game. The loss of Ovendale means that 18 yr old Beckwith makes his 2nd start in goal.
Whilst neither team has nothing to play for, it is def Colchester who appear to be showing the extra form and professionalism and must be favourites to keep their excellent run under Phil Parkinson going.
My own team Macclesfield have lifted themsleves clear of relegation trouble, they are unnbeaten in 6 league games and they meet a Rushden team that is unbeaten in 8 league games.
Macclesfield reserve their best performances when playing away from home, and although Rushden would win this match more often than not, 7.50 for the Win and 4.00 for the Draw is an insult given their current run of results.
That equates to just over 2/1 for them not to get beat in this match which looks very fair in my eyes.
Good Luck
undertaker.su (Login undertaker.su) Fixed Odds Member
Re: English Lower Leagues ( Monday )
April 21 2003, 1:33 PM
one derby in conference,
dag & red vs yeovil home win for me @2,45
2 div.
barnsley vs crewe home/draw
port vale vs wycombe home
3 div.
darlington vs hull city away @2,75
some matches on goals
york city vs kidder under 2,5
chesterfield vs brentford under 2,5
rotherham vs ipswich over 2,5
I am sorry how late this is, but I have just been studying the recent H2H stats between the two at Carrow Road, and they are heavily stacked in the home sides favour.
Norwich also have been recently turning it on again at home, and considering they need the points to get themselves back nearer the play-off picture (helped also by Ipswich loss today), coupled with Wolves reputation for 'bottling it' in bigger games, a small punt on Norwich around 2.30 is in the offing.
Only two out of 9 picks ( with odds quoted coming in ) in the shape of the Cheltenham Under @ 1.90 and Mulvs good run continuing with Stoke.
As for my second pick ( Colchester ) oooh it was so close !!!
I think we need to vary the bets a bit...everyome going for over 2.00 and high odds aways. Maybe next weekend each person posts one decent safer home win poss at lower odds and then a biggie?
but quite early in the season I found that there was only one thing with Wolves that you can rely on - their unpredictability.In my mind's eye,had Wolves as certs for minimum play-off position.They have actually struggled to creep in.Now,I worry that they may blow my wonderful Blades out of the water !
BTW - the only reason Rotherham came back and beat Ipswich ? All the Sheff U fans piled in after half time to roar 'em on !!!!!! Ipswich gallop was frightening the pants off everyone.
...I really should know better mulv. As you so righty state, their unpredictability knows no bounds, they have f**ked me so many times in the past, by their failures to win, and now things go full tilt.
Never to mind...
undertaker.su (Login undertaker.su) Fixed Odds Member
I will try Lincoln
1X2 22 Apr 03 20:45
Home Draw Away
Cambridge v Lincoln
2.25 3.20 2.80
Lincoln manager Keith Alexander has no new injury or suspension concerns for the game.
The Imps came through an important 1-0 win over York on Saturday unscathed and Alexander should name the same starting XI.
Dene Cropper, who started his first league game since April 19 against the Minstermen, showed no after effects from a knee ligament injury and will retain his place up front.
Cambridge manager John Taylor is likely to make changes from the side that lost to Bristol Rovers when his team host Lincoln. Taylor hinted he may blood some younger members of his squad in the starting line-up as United's hopes of reaching the play-offs seem over following their 3-1 defeat at the Memorial Stadium.
Promising young striker John Turner remains sidelined with a groin strain but Andy Duncan and Shane Tudor are back in training after undergoing groin operations.
However, Taylor says he will not risk playing that duo for the rest of the season "unless absolutely necessary".
I'm not really sure where (which country ?) you are from.And not quite certain what you mean in your posts.
But I fear that your picks gave an indication that English geography/English language may be a bit of a problem.What I mean is 'derby' in the conference.
A 'derby' match usually involves two clubs who are geographically (and,usually,historically) considered as sworn enemies because they are very close,geographically,to each other.Examples in Britain are Liverpool/Everton (both Liverpool clubs),Man U/Man C,Arsenal/Spurs (North London) etc.In Stoke,there is Stoke City/Port Vale,in East Anglia Norwich/Ipswich and in Scotand Celtic/Rangers are known worldwide.
However - Dag & Red v Yeovil does NOT fall into this category.Dagenham makes cars - Yeovil makes you look it up on the map ! Dagenham is East London (not an exact definition) and Yeovil is in Somerset in West England.They are about 200+ kilometres apart.Plus - by the time this match was played,Yeovil were already champions and will go into Div 3 Nationwide next season.Dag&Red were already assured a play-off place.This match was,therefore,a 'no-contest' match.
Please accept that this is a post by way of explanation,not to bollock you.Wherever you are from,we are hoping you will be able to give us all some local inside knowledge about teams/matches in your region.Post some of your picks for us to look at and see how you perform.
All the best
mulvhttp://www.network54.com/Realm/footballfixedodds/wave.gif
They are a team that 2 seasons ago i decided never to risk my cash on ever again..they were added to my never bet list..of which included Liverpool and Birmingham at the time..out of those 3 Wolves and Liverpool are 2 that consistently muck folks bets up..thank god i gave up on them.
Wolves were top ranking in my never bet list also but i think i'll include all the english lower leagues teams...
I had 4 bets on saturday on eng leagues(which i posted here) and lost all of them.
I thought today that this cannot continue more so i placed 5 more bets(bradford,oldham,colt,derby,hull) most with the draw covered,i doubled the stake...(still small but it makes no difference) but all lost again.I can't remember myself having 9 lost bets in a row in the past.
Well, i have already placed a ( well promishing to make them 10) bet on leeds tomorrow, so be ware of them...
had given them some thought - but they are just too 'safe' a side.Only Swansea has scored LESS goals all season than Lincoln.Their defence is strong,so another draw might be on the cards.But whether X2 at the odds is attractive enough .............???????
This match calls for a 'tilt' at winning to get the points - I don't think it is in Lincoln's armoury.My best shot would be the draw,covered with a home win.Or 'under' if you can find it at 1.60+
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