Still waiting for big one.
Starting bank: 100 units (30.12.2003)
Current bank: 26.78 units
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Profit: -73.22 units
Staked: 548 units
Won: 474.78 units
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Yield: -16%
89 games W and 53 games L since starting Weekend Trebles!
Now to my selection!
I have to say, some odds fell drastically since I placed the bets on Tuesday, I am sorry, but I could not post them earlier, only got online tonight (Wednesday). I am going to show the difference where it exists.
Bets were placed at Športna Loterija (as always) in Ljubljana (PM 107) between 14.25 and 14.30 on Tuesday (as you could see, I am doing early posts since two weeks ago, to avoid odds dropping).
So, here is my selection:
*Empoli v Parma, Away, 2.30!!! (now 1.40)
This was a banker 10/10 from beginning for me, I could not believe odds they gave on it, obviously they did not know, Empoli was already rescued theoretically, odds fell on Tue evening at about 20.30. Now, the game is a typical last round banker, Parma needs to win for UEFA cup qualification, Empoli ended their season last saturday with a draw v Torino. 10/10!
*Nuernberg v Leverkusen, Away, 1.55 (now 1.30)
We all know what Leverkusen went through this season, they finally got off the relegation spot last week and I think, with Augenthaler, who managed Nuernberg last two season, they should win here, although it is only 9/10, it is Germany, you know...
*Udinese v Lazio, Home, 1.60 (now 1.45)
Another fine banker from Italy, Udinese fighting for UEFA cup against Lazio playing for nothing, 8/10
*Rangers v Dunfermline, Home, 1.10
Well, not much to say here, no great courage here, home team are going to score a lot, trying to match Celtic and it is simply 10/10 fix!
*Dortmund v Cottbus, Home, 1.10
I needed another banker, no metter odds, so I took this one, Dortmund needs to win to secure 2nd place and direct qualification to Champions League, Cottbus, well ,are the bottom side of the league... 9/10
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Bottom five (will enter 2 trebles each)
*Bielefeld v Hannover, Home, 1.50
Bielefeld has only one chance left, if Leverkusen wins.
They need to win with at least 3-4 goals difference against Hannover (it is possible) and wait for Moenchengladbach to lose against Werder (hardly possible but still, Werder in fight for UEFA position and good form could win). I believe, they will do their part of the job and wait for good news (which may not come...) 8/10
*Brescia v Modena, Draw, 2.75 (now 1.50!)
Perhaps I should put this game as a banker, but I had some doubts here, if Reggina and Atalanta dont win, Modena could afford to lose this one and help Brescia enter Intertoto cup easily. The goal would be scored in 95th minute, but since I believe Reggina and Atalanta are winning, this game will stay a draw, too. 7/10.
*Inter v Perugia, Draw, 4.00
Well I go against all odds here, and it takes a lot of courage in Italy, last round.
But I think, at these odds it is worth a try, Inter need 1 point and Perugia would like to take one, too, to secure a Intertoto cup position for themselves. So, perhaps the bookies forgot that or got blinded by Inter winning easily in Modena.
They needed at least 4 points then and got three. Now they only need 1, why bother winning, when you can lose that way, its better to try a nice draw which fits both teams...or am I wrong? 6/10
*Piacenza v Milan, Home, 5.00!!!!! (now 2.20)
Well, I just could not resist these odds!! I mean, we all saw Milan playing against Roma yesterday, they were brilliant second half, but...
I am a bit afraid now, when I saw them, but again...
Will they have the same determination here? Which team is going to play? Milan is fix third in the league and are thinking about Champions League now. Piacenza is playing in front of their fans and perhaps they will show some magic for their rendez vouz? Players are betting, too, you know... 5/10
*Heerenveen v Roosendaal, Home, 1.65
This is Holland one game between a team in progress (Heerenveen) and one of the worst away teams (2-2-12), Roosendaal. 7/10
Now to my trebles (1 unit- 1000 SIT- our currency, each)
Parma-Rangers-Brescia X, @6.96
Parma-Udinese-Inter X, @14.72
Parma-Dortmund-Piacenza, @12.65
Parma-Leverkusen-Bielefeld, @5.35
Dortmund-Leverkusen-Inter X, @6.82
Rangers-Leverkusen-Brescia X, @4.69
Udinese-Rangers-Heerenveen @2.90
Udinese-Dortmund-Heerenveen @2,90
Udinese-Rangers-Bielefeld, @2.64
Dortmund-Leverkusen-Piacenza, @8.53
and of course a combo @939.51!!!
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11 units staked (10200 SIT or about 30 Pounds)!
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