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There is no argument that the Red portrait Cobb was American Lithographic's "signature picture" for its white
bordered T-card sets. This picture of Cobb appears on at least 30 white bordered cards with various Tobacco
advertising backs. But, there appears to be some argument regarding the relative scarcity of its 11 toughest
T206 backs. So, let's run a survey and see what results.
I will start this survey with 2 of my 4 red Cobb cards.
OK, guys and gals.....how about running up the numbers.....show and/or tell us about your red Cobb(s) ?
Remember, this survey is not limited to just these 11 backs....any Red Cobb is welcome to this study.
Thanks for your time an effort responding to this survey.
TED Z
This message has been edited by tedzan on Apr 24, 2009 10:48 PM This message has been edited by tedzan on Apr 4, 2009 11:10 AM This message has been edited by tedzan on Apr 2, 2009 9:00 PM This message has been edited by tedzan on Apr 2, 2009 5:10 PM
Re: Red Cobb survey of its 7 scarcest backs..need your inputs ?
April 2 2009, 6:35 PM
I would say that a Cobb Hindu Red or Black is more difficult to find than a Lenox or Uzit. Just my thoughts after looking for a Cobb hindu for a few years
This message has been edited by warrior1978 on Apr 2, 2009 6:36 PM
Red Cobb survey of its 10 scarcest backs..need your inputs ?
April 2 2009, 9:03 PM
1st....As I've already stated, the BROAD LEAF 460 is not on the list because there is no debate that
it is absolutely the scarcest. Anyhow, I doubt that more than 2 examples would be reported here.
2nd....This survey was mainly prompted by a discussion regarding the relative scarcity of this Cobb
with DRUM, LENOX, Red HINDU and UZIT backs. I added the CAROLINA BRIGHTS, PIEDMONT 460/42
and the SOVEREIGN 460 to this survey because I feel that these 3 are also quite scarce. But, since
some have requested here, I now have added AMERICAN BEAUTY 350, CYCLE 460 and EPDG backs
to this survey.
OK, get this straight....the order that the backs are listed here has no relation to their scarcity......
that is what we are trying to determine from this survey.
Re: Red Cobb survey of its 10 scarcest backs..need your inputs ?
April 2 2009, 9:10 PM
Ted,
Here are the T206 Cobb, red, cards that I have:
American beauty 350 with frame
Carolina brights
Cycle 460
Old Mill
Piedmont 350, factory 25
Piedmont 350-460, factory 42
Polar Bear
Sovereign 350
Sovereign 460
Sweet Cap 350, factory 30
Sweet Cap 350-460, factory 30
Sweet Cap 350-460, factory 42 with overprint
Tolstoi
T213 Coupon, type 2
Re: Red Cobb survey of its 10 scarcest backs..need your inputs ?
April 3 2009, 12:01 PM
Golly, Ted... you asked to hear about my red portrait Cobb. I have one, the only one I've ever had in the white border set. It isn't on you're list, because it's common I reckon... Piedmont 350-460 factory 25. Now I've told you about my red Cobb, as asked!!
Red Cobb survey of its 10 scarcest backs..need your inputs ?
April 3 2009, 7:47 PM
Thanks for all your inputs, guys. Also, I have received 6 emailed inputs from Net54 readers.
I'll tally up the data and post an updated list later tonite.
For you guys who have posted your Cobb's with backs other than these 10 scarcest ones,
I appreciate your inputs and near the end of this survey these backs will also be tallied.
We are on a roll here, keep the inputs rolling in. We can't have enough Red Cobb's....can we ?
Re: Red Cobb survey of all its backs....need your inputs ?
April 6 2009, 10:41 AM
Ted, I'll post mine tonight. Also, this survey cannot be complete until the carpet guy from Michigan chimes in after he's done rioting after basketball tonight. He's the Nelson & Bunker Hunt of red Cobbs.
OK, we have 96 total inputs.....but, we need many more data points in order to arrive at some
valid conclusions.
Guys & gals, do not be shy about telling us of your Red Cobb cards....hop onto this bandwagon
and add your Cobb to this list. Who will be the first to reach the 100th input ?
TED Z
This message has been edited by tedzan on Apr 7, 2009 9:31 PM
1st....the 10 red Cobb's reported (so far) with PIEDMONT 460 Fac. 42 do not surprise me in the least.
If we were to get a lot more participation in this survey (at least 200 inputs), we would get a more
realistic perspective. And, the 10 red Cobb's with P460/42 backs would not seem out of line.
2nd....in a P460/42 survey that I ran last November, the six super-prints (this red Cobb is one) were
more often reported with P460/42 backs than other 350/460 subjects. Furthermore, I have a theory
why this Cobb is found with many P460/42 backs. The PIEDMONT brand was very popular in the South-
east, so American Litho. printed up many red Cobb's at the tail end of the PIEDMONT run and shipped
them to Durham, NC (Factory 42) to be inserted into the L&M PIEDMONT packs.
3rd....Finally, In recent years, P460/42 cards have been sought after much more so than in the past.
The 1st T206 set that I put together back in the 1980's had 4 - P460/42 cards in it....that I was not
even aware of. Simply, because this back was seldom seen (most collectors were unaware of it).
When Bill Heitman published The Monster in 1980, Red HINDU backed T206's were virtually unknown.
TED Z
This message has been edited by tedzan on Apr 8, 2009 5:53 PM
Re: Red Cobb survey of all its backs....need your inputs ?
April 8 2009, 11:12 AM
Ted; I am not reporting another Cobb, but pulled my card out to check the factory number again. It is a Sweet Cap factory 25, 350 back. Are these for some reason scarce, as I see all others are fac 30
Re: Red Cobb survey of all its backs....need your inputs ?
April 15 2009, 11:26 AM
Hi Ted,
Last nite a T213-1 Red Cobb ended on ebay. I know you believe the Type 1 Coupons should be part of T206, so I thought you might like to be aware of it. (I tried a snipe of $1200, but obviously I got blown out of the water!) Here's the link:
I saw your's and John W's "lures"....as soon as I can get the software to enable my computer with it's new Hard Drive
to work with my scanner....I will "blow you guys out of the water" with my T206 Cobb.
Incidently, I must say, I'm disappointed that you did have some "exotic" Red Cobb's
Re: Red Cobb survey of all its backs....need your inputs ?
April 15 2009, 2:54 PM
Craig,
I bid on the T213-1 Cobb as well, but couldn't make myself go any higher. The paperloss killed it for me & the top edge definately looked trimmed. Still a nice card, though.
I'm not going to add this "baby" to the survey list....lest I'll get grief from the " Burdick
can't be wrong" crowd....and, who do I think I am to question him ?
Thanx for bringing this 1910 Coupon to my attention.
Anyone have a guess as to how many red Cobbs (including all backs) exist? Probably an easier question is, how many red Cobbs have been graded, all companies included?
Re: Red Cobb survey of all its backs....need your inputs ?
April 16 2009, 6:15 PM
Bruce,
PSA shows they have graded 1093. SGC shows 303.
Edited to add - I'll check with GAI on Monday.
This message has been edited by jvb6034 on Apr 23, 2009 8:20 AM This message has been edited by jvb6034 on Apr 23, 2009 8:19 AM This message has been edited by jvb6034 on Apr 16, 2009 6:23 PM
Re: Red Cobb survey of all its backs....need your inputs ?
April 16 2009, 7:26 PM
Ted,
I noticed your list is seeking to track the Red Hindus but I don't see an entry for a regular Hindu....In the years that I've been collecting the different Cobb backs, I've seen more EPDG, Lenox, Cycle and Uzits than even a normal Hindu Cobb.
I don't know how we can establish a grand total population of how many Red Cobb cards exist.
Grading Co. POP reports are at best misleading (due to constant churning of re-grading). And,
there are still many old dinosaurs like me who have ungraded Cobb's (currently, I have 4 such
Red Cobb's).
Then there are (by my count) 30 different Red Cobb's....24 T206's, Ty Cobb back, 1910 Coupon,
T213-2, T213-3, T214 and T215....which complicates any true count of this Subject.
Here is what we do know......in two independent T206 surveys totalling over 40,000 cards, the
Red Cobb out-numbers all other T206 Subjects (except the 5 other Super-Prints) by a factor of
approx. 2 to 1. The closest Subjects were guys like Johnson (portrait) and Joss (pitching). From
these surveys, Johnson's sample was 110 cards and Joss' sample was 124 cards....while the Red
Cobb's sample was 196.
You noted......
"I noticed your list is seeking to track the Red Hindus but I don't see an entry for a regular Hindu...."
Are you alluding to the Brown HINDU back ?
I don't think you are, because the Brown HINDU back exists only in the 150/350 Series of T206's.
The Red Cobb was printed in the 350/460 Series; and therefore, can never be found with a Brown
Hindu back.
We have a total of 133 inputs.....it doesn't look like we'll attain the 200 figure that I hoped for.
Anyhow, we are 2/3 rds of the way there, and that will do for now.
If there are anymore Cobb collectors out there, please show or tell us of your Red Cobb cards.
And, the only T206 back that has not been reported is the UZIT....does any one have one ?
Also, I received a Net54 reader's email input with a TOLSTOI back.
Here's my UZIT red Cobb.....it's too bad that it's my gimmicked-up fake. Otherwise, if real, it would
be a really unique error that would command big $$$$$$.
Actually, I'm surprised that such printing mistakes haven't been found, since American Lithographic
was printing these Red Cobb's and the T80 Military men cards, simultaneously, in early 1911.
In any event, still looking for a Red Cobb with a UZIT back to confirm its 24 different T206 backs.
Re: Red Cobb survey of all its backs....need your inputs ?
April 21 2009, 2:45 PM
Hi, Ted. I agree completely with you about resubmissions and ungraded cards owned by old farts like me. I was surprised, though, by how many have been graded, even accounting for resubmissions.
Thanks for bringing up this subject again. I have given this some thought and I think we can extrapolate and arrive at
an educated guess to answer your original question. Let's do a little math here......
Let's assume that this random survey of 40,000 T206 cards is valid. It yielded 196 red Cobb's......and, an over all ave-
rage (OAA) of 78 each of the other 509 T206's.
40,000/509 T206 Subjects = OAA of 78 T206's.....509 = 524 - (the Big 6, 6-Super Prints, Dahlen, Elberfeld, Lundgren)
40,000/196 = a red Cobb per every 200 cards
Red Cobb/OAA = 2.5 red Cobb's per any other 509 Subjects
Simply stated, the Red Cobb lies somewhere between a Double Print and a Triple Print.
Furthermore, Scot Reader, in his book "Inside T206", has a chapter on the "survivability" of the T206 cards. If I recall
correctly, he estimates approx. 1 to 2 Million cards. I think Scot's estimate is a good one.
So, if we divide 1 Million T206's by 200, it yields 5,000 red Cobb's. This number might sound high; and, I'm sure I'll be
challenged on this population #.....but, that's my best guess.
Re: Red Cobb survey of all its backs....need your inputs ?
April 23 2009, 7:57 AM
Ted:
Some observations from looking at the data, all obvious, but interesting nonetheless.
1)The Piedmont 460/42 and Old Mill seem to be candidates for "easier" status.
2)The Sweet Cap 460/42's also seem pretty tough. In fact, with one exception Sweet Cap backs taken individually seem scarce in relation to many other backs.
3) There does not seem to be nearly as many of each of the "easy" backs as I would have thought. I suspect under-reporting is the cause of this.
4) When looked at as 4 groups, the distribution flattens out some. I may be off by a couple but get the following out of 149 backs reported:
All Piedmont: 49 or 32.9%
All Sweet Cap: 30 or 20.1%
All OM/Sov/PB: 31 or 20.8%
All Other backs: 39 0r 26.2%
Piedmont has the most as expected, but the other three groupings as a whole are pretty close. Based upon overall ppn. of all Piedmonts to all backs, there should be a lot more Piedmonts out there yet to be reported.
There is no doubt about it, the Piedmont 350 Fac 25 and Sweet Cap 350 Fac 30 red Cobb's have been under-reported.
I think this may be due to most collectors on Net54 go for the tougher backs. A more random sampling would most like-
ly result in many more of these two easier backs.
Frank
The red Cobb was printed and issued in the 2nd (350) series of T206 set in 1910. And, then was further printed and is-
sued in the 460 Series in late 1910 and 1911. Perhaps, you are thinking of the Green Cobb which was issued in the 1st
(150) series in 1909.
Re: Red Cobb survey of all its backs....need your inputs ?
April 23 2009, 8:35 AM
Hey Frank A....
As I understand it, the white border tobacco cards were issued in a progression of series and brands. The series are somewhat obvious, the brand aspect isn't quite so obvious. Series 150 first, then 350, and last was 460.
Green portrait cards and bat on shoulder (gray cap) Cobb cards were in series 150, and carried over into 350. Red portrait cards and bat off shoulder (black cap) Cobb cards first appear in series 350, and they continue into series 460.
Ted Z can expand on this, no doubt. Scot Reader's great publication would help, too.
My calculation estimates that there are approx. 5000 red Cobb cards in circulation.
The Graded POP report you posted shows 1400.....where are all the other Cobb's ?
Yes, there's guys like me that do not get my cards Graded.....I have 4 red Cobb's.
And, I know of about 40-50 T206 collections that are un-graded with Cobb's.
I am sure there are many more such T206 collections; but, we have to go a long,
long way to come up with the difference.
Any suggestions....besides saying my calculations are exaggerated ?
Re: Red Cobb survey of all its backs....need your inputs ?
April 24 2009, 9:46 AM
Interesting question Ted. I certainly don't know the answer. You would think that more than 28% of the red Cobbs would have been graded by now. Maybe not though.
Re: Red Cobb survey of all its backs....need your inputs ?
April 24 2009, 10:11 AM
Seems likely that several of them would have been resubmitted... As difficult as it will be for us folks here to accept, there are lots of collectors who either know not, or care not, about this board, the cards those folks have would remain unconsidered in this analysis.
I would estimate the population of T206 collectors (and Ty Cobb collectors) are in the 1000's.....worldwide.
Many of them are old "dinosaurs" (like me) that have collected these T-cards for 4 (or more) decades. And,
have no interest in having them Graded.
I have very few graded cards in my various sets (1887-1987). However, I do get Sports cards graded for the
purposes of selling them. All that said, I'll apply my old axiom here...."we live in a 1/3 rd world"....therefore, if
1400 red Cobb's are Graded. Then, I speculate that there are another 2800 that are ungraded.
And, I don't think the converse (1400 graded while only 700 are ungraded) is true.
Also, no one has come up with how many Red Cobb's are Graded by Beckett, GAI, etc., etc. ?
Anyhow, just offering my 2 Drachma's to this discussion.
Re: Red Cobb survey of all its backs....need your inputs ?
April 24 2009, 1:36 PM
Beckett has graded 64 red Cobbs. I don't think GAI has a pop report that you can access -- at least I can't find one. I suspect the number would be rather small.