First of all, I am not a pro political analyst so don't take my every word for it. But like rest of you who come here to comment, I also tend to give my opinions.
O'Neil will form the next political government because
1. PNC party has so far mastered the numbers and is leading in several electorates throughout the country. Thus, GG will definitely invite him and his party to form the government. PNG or any other parties can throw large sums of money here and there to lure the independents. But for now, it won't make any differences to build up their parties' numbers for the independents will still be recognized as independents prior to forming a government.
2. O'Neil is calm and cool headed and analyses carefully what's happening in the political arena before making his moves. Thus, it wasn't a mistake when he landed the PM's post prior to the general election.
O'Neil will form a coalition government and every one of the political parties including the independents would want to be part of it. It doesn't take a political genius to work this out. Apart from some kickbacks one might receive, the rewards of being in a government is wide and far-reaching. To simplify, it is like you can do anything under the sun to become wealthy overnight.
1. You instantly have access to K10 million DSG.
2. Before you were nobody. Now all of a sudden every businesses and corporation would want to become your friend. Depending on how you can talk and make your presence known in a government – the better you are, the more wealth you accumulate. Just ask Jeffery Nape and he'll tell you all about it.
3. You have the opportunity of being in every committee sometime getting the role of chairmanship. And the perks and privileges are immense. Unlike Australia where every federal MP is put under spotlight for whatever bonuses they receive apart from their normal wages, in ours you can do anything and easily get away with it. Just ask the PM himself.
4. If you come from a resource rich province such as Hela, then you automatically have access to millions of kina from lobbying developers.
So you see, it won’t be difficult for O'Neil to form the next government. Ben Micah (PPP) was the strategist behind O'Neil landing the PM's post and Peter rewarded him with PM's Chief of Staff post and Haiveta as High Commissioner to Australia. PPP has only 5 MPs and would become a minor party compared to THE and PNG but at least, it will boost PNC's numbers.
Should Wingti returns, him and Sir J or Michael can't do anything much at the political arena despite their experiences or whatever journalists say. Their once illuminating time is a bygone. This era belongs to the likes of Namah, Polye, O'Neil, Pruaitch, Duma and so forth.
Response to comment above. Declaration of O'Neil as an MP-elect when polling is going in other centres is ethically wrong. Though it won't break any laws of the country, this is not right, because voters can put their 1st preferences on any candidates they wish to vote but 2 and 3 are likely to end up with a PNC candidate. Using the disguise of a possible state of emergency in SHP and Hela, all the police and army resources were concentrated there and subsequently elections were conducted into Chimbu and EHP. And guess who were at the Defence and Police helms when that happened. Appointees of O'Neil led government except for Agwi whom O'Neil assured him of his post so long as he doesn't meddle into politics.
So was this election free and fair? To some extent it might have been rigged but you decide.