That site does not prove anything. It is a multiple regression approach which I have used often in present day races and it gets losers eight times in ten. It ignores the importance of trip handicapping, neglects early speed, dismisses the importance of the daily track variant, denies the truth of MOW competition level and belies the importance of the physical health and soundness of the horses involved. It uses cop out excuses for Secretariats losses such as he was sick, under trained etc. If Secretariat ran against MOW when he was sick, under trained etc, he would have been a CERTAIN LOSER as MOW never ran when sick and unfit. That is to MOWs credit not an excuse. MOW Beyer in the Lawrence when he was given his head in an effort to set a track record was run on a slow 10 Beyer Variant and his Beyer was 147 to 149 well above Secretariats 138 in the Belmont. It was a run on the clock. I do not like to use that Beyer for that reason. Accurate daily variants have been made for the years MOW raced. MOW had MUCH more early kick than Secretariat and his running position at the First Call was 1.8 when he ran in fields of 5 or more. Secretariats FCP was 5 or 6. If MOW got a soft lead on SEC
Sec won’t have caught him as MOW Beyers at the FCP and the Finish are higher than Secs.
