Turkey and Israel will be reluctant for future defense industry sales, analysts say
Turkish-Israeli defense deals on hold
As the latest Turkish-Israeli dispute deepens over Ankara's removal of Israel from planned military exercises in Turkish air space, the two countries are struggling to complete two delayed defense industry programs.
Meanwhile, defense analysts suggest the political rows are likely to prevent Turkey and Israel from seeking any large-scale defense industry deals in the foreseeable future.
The two delayed and ongoing defense programs are Turkey's planned purchase of Israeli Herons, which are unmanned aerial vehicles, or UAV, and Israel's modernization of Turkey's M60 main battle tanks.
Israeli Aircraft Industries and Elbit won a competition against U.S. rivals in 2005 for Turkeys purchase of 10 military Herons, worth nearly $190 million. Some of the systems' parts would be produced in Turkey.
The Herons were planned to be delivered in 2007, but the incompatibility of the systems' Israeli and Turkish parts and ensuing failures of the UAV in performance tests have prevented the program's completion.
The final acceptance tests for the first four UAVs were scheduled for August, but mainly due to pilot training purposes, those tests were postponed until late October or early November, a top Turkish official told Hürriyet Daily News & Economic Review.
If the upcoming tests are performed successfully, the first four tested Herons, and later the remaining six are expected to be delivered to the Turkish military, marking the end of the program, the official said.
But if the UAVs fail in the upcoming final acceptance tests, Turkey will have the option to cancel the whole program.
Tank deal
On the tank front, Israeli Military Industries won a competition against U.S. rivals in 2002 for upgrading 170 M60s, a deal worth about $700 million. The program should have been completed in 2007, but a series of failures in performance tests delayed the deliveries.
"Now we are nearing the end, and hope this program will be completed before the end of the year," the procurement official said. In the late 1990s and early 2000s, Israeli companies received deals worth billions of dollars to upgrade Turkish F-4E fighters, F-5 fighters, M60 tanks and the sale of several other systems.
But amid current tensions between both countries, defense deals are expected to be negatively affected, defense analysts said. "As a result of delays in earlier programs and the latest political disputes, Turkey will likely be reluctant to buy major Israeli defense systems at least in the short term," said one Ankara-based analyst.
"Likewise, the Israelis would be unwilling to sell any major arms systems to the Turks," the analyst said.
Israel's removal from drills
Earlier this month Turkey told Israel its participation in planned air exercises, dubbed the Anatolian Eagle, was unwelcome.
The exercises were planned between Oct. 12 and 23 in Turkish air space with Turkish, Israeli, U.S. and other NATO military aircraft taking part. After the United States threatened to boycott the drills because of Israel's expulsion, Turkey indefinitely postponed the international leg of the exercises.
Top Israeli officials reacted strongly against the Turkish move, but Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoan defended the decision, saying the Turkish people did not want Israel's participation in the exercises.
Erdoan has repeatedly condemned Israel's military operations against Palestinians in Gaza in late December and January.
http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/n.php?n=turkish-israeli-defense-deals-on-hold-2009-10-19
the israelis are fu[king them salves up not us
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