World's Armed Forces Forum
  << Previous Topic | Next Topic >>Forum Index  

FRANK CHING: China gains confidence from America's errors

December 11 2008 at 2:01 PM

Anonymous  (Login Type98G)
Middle kingdom(China)

WHAT a difference 30 years makes. Or even two years. When China got rid of class struggle and world revolution after the death of Mao Zedong and opted for economic development, it was a willing student of the West, especially of the United States, on how to run a market economy.

Two years ago, when the US and China launched the strategic economic dialogue -- a high-level forum held every six months alternately in Beijing and in Washington headed on the American side by Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson -- virtually half the American cabinet went to China to meet their counterparts. At that time, the emphasis was on educating China.

As Paulson said in his opening statement in Beijing on Dec 13, 2006: "Over the next two days, we will discuss a number of issues surrounding China's economic development strategy and the challenges that China faces... My colleagues and I also welcome the opportunity to share lessons from our own experience with social safety nets, labour mobility, and transparent and flexible fiscal spending to address income inequality."

Last week, the fifth session of the dialogue was held. This time, even before the start of the Dec 4-5 dialogue, the official People's Daily in its online edition said:

"It is the first time that China and the US are able to break free from the controversies over the RMB exchange rate, intellectual property right, market access and trade deficit."
"In the past dialogues, the US put forward various requirements and standards for China, from the opening of capital market to currency convertibility, which, according to the US, would help China's economic growth. However, the current financial meltdown has dealt a heavy blow to US confidence, and made the growth pattern of American finance capitalism questionable."

In this latest session, it was clear that the shoe was now on the other foot. Chinese felt free to lecture the US. Thus, Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of the People's Bank of China, asserted: "The United States should speed up domestic adjustment, raise its savings rate and reduce its trade and fiscal deficits."


And Vice-Premier Wang Qishan, leader of the Chinese delegation, exhorted the US to stabilise its economy as soon as possible to "ensure the safety of China's assets and investments in the United States".

Actually, the Chinese banker must know that if Americans accepted his advice to increase savings, they would have to cut spending, which would have an adverse impact on the Chinese economy since the United States is the biggest market for Chinese exports.

Actually, this new-found Chinese sense of confidence was already evident six months ago, at the fourth round of the dialogue, when the subprime lending crisis had already emerged. At that time, Zhou, the central banker, said that while in the past China had learned useful lessons from the US, now it was learning from American mistakes, not just its successes.

The latest Chinese statements show the dilemma in which Beijing finds itself. On one hand, it wants to increase its exports; on the other hand, it knows that the huge trade surpluses that it enjoys with the US are not sustainable and that if the American economy is not fixed, then China's investments, in particular the US$750 billion (RM2 trillion) in Treasury bonds that it holds, may be at risk.

But the current financial situation in the US has undoubtedly caused China to rethink its own policies. It must be thanking its lucky stars that it has kept its financial markets relatively closed and so has not been severely contaminated by the sophisticated products exported by the US to European and other countries.

Still, both sides believe that the economic dialogue is useful. In fact, they expressed the hope that the incoming Obama administration would continue this high-level economic exchange between China and the US.

This fifth round of the economic dialogue was held just weeks before President George W. Bush steps down. Later this week, the sixth China-US Strategic Dialogue is to be held between Chinese State Councillor Dai Bingguo and US Deputy Secretary of State John Negroponte.

Both these dialogues should be continued by the Obama administration. Relations between the US and China are among the most important bilateral relationships in the world in the 21st century. It would be a mistake to break either one of these two important strands of the relationship.

Both countries -- and the world -- will benefit from an improved understanding of each other.

http://www.nst.com.my/Current_News/NST/Thursday/Columns/2424762/Article/index_html

[linked image]

 
 Respond to this message   
AuthorReply
Anonymous
(Login oneman28)
Member

Re: FRANK CHING: China gains confidence from America's errors

December 11 2008, 4:05 PM 

It is a time for Chinese to rethink about socialism and capitalist. China needs a balanced view now.

 
 
Current Topic - FRANK CHING: China gains confidence from America's errors  Respond to this message   
  << Previous Topic | Next Topic >>Forum Index