I havn't read your essay yet, but I am interested in finding it and reading it. Statistics and Probability is another interest of mine.
However, the question still remains. Is there anyone who knows so much about cryonics and cryobiology that they would beable to honestly say that is certain that cryonics will work provide enough money and resources is pumped into it? If there are no such people, which people would come closest to being such people?