The #4, Torment (ML 8-1) is a very interesting entrant in today's 8th race at Belmont.
In yesterday's finale, the trio of Imbesi/Cesare/Castro (owner/trainer/jockey) brought home a $31 winner. The horse was dropping from a MSW to a $25K claimer. What I liked about him was the series of long, 6F and mile works he had prior to the race, especially since this "sprinter" was stretching out for the first time to a 1 1/16 mile race.
The exact opposite is happening in today's 8th race. The trio is back at it, as Torment is also dropping from a MSW to a $25K claimer, but this "distance" horse is cutting back to a 6F sprint today. He shows a string of very nice 4F works at GP back in January, so he appears to have some spring in his step. His longer past races and 7F works sure must have given him a strong foundation. The field also appears to have an abundance of early speed in the race, which could set the race up for his potential close. Can lightning strike twice? I'll be playing to find out...
This message has been edited by timmye1 on Jun 3, 2012 10:29 AM
Congratulations on your hit yesterday.
Been on a super roll myself, however yesterday
was my day to be the victim. Brought it on myself
by playing too many races that I really didn't like.
Not very smart.
I have had much better luck with sprinters stretching out
than with routers cutting back.
Plus-- those dropping down are often over-bet.
Need a strong trainer pattern to
like that angle.
One of the most expensive circumstances of
pik 3s/4s is having to put level $$ leverage on races
where you really have no clue.
Spider, isn't it nice to get in that zone? I've also been doing quite well of late but feel I've left way too much money on the table by not also playing exactas and tris. That may change today. I sure hope so, anyway.
Here's another one that may be worth a bet today. In the 9th race, I see Sportwriter and I'll Stake U taking a lot of money today, but I'm not sure the turf will help either one of them.
I'm backing the #8, Disco On at ML odds of 8-1. His works have been great of late and that dirt sprint race off the layoff may have just been a tune up for this turf race. He's already shown a mile is not a bad distance for him, so this 7F should be right in his wheel house. I just hope he's matured a bit since his 2YO season. We'll soon find out...
FWIW, I often look for Castro on the turf with price horses. He is seems to get the most out of his mounts on turf and is often on overlooked horses. Don't care for him too much on dirt, but he is a sharp turf rider.
Stephen Levinson (Login orioleboy) UpInClass Member
Re: Sunday at Belmont
June 3 2012, 2:29 PM
Taking a shot with your two touts in the 8th and 9th today as I didn't really like anything.
Thanks and good luck .
A RARE red board from the Basement...in the Belmont 5th I lucked out playing #8 Biolette across the board @ 20ish-1...of course, switched the #4 horse that would have filled out the $745 exacta to the #1 horse...doh!