Or is this even the time to start thinking about the betting strategy?
Reggie (no login)
Re: *Sprint ~ (Reggie) sloppyj, Quick Call, GAM
October 22 2004, 9:21 AM
Quick,
I'm assumming you're referring to how we would bet this outside of the contest, because from my understanding our contest play will simply be a 4-horse tri box. Working under that assumption, what I've done in the past and have had success is the following:
Tri's like this
A/BCD/BCDEF
BCD/A/BCDEF
BCD/BCDEF/A
A/BCDEF/BCD
In my 'capping for the sprint I find my key guy who has to hit the board. Historically I've been pretty good with this and I use the various number combinations to cover myself. Notice I only use BCD in the top slot and not BCDEF, that is because if I have analyzed the race correctly then the I should have narrowed things down to only three possible upsetters. Last year I settled (quite early on) with SYD as my key, he hung in there for third and I was able to make my way to the IRS window as a result.
LOL.....My mistake Reggie, I wasn't thinking straight!
But I do need to figure my own strategy and I appreciate your input here. I will look hard at your suggestion. I, too, like to key one horse, although I have read a couple of times now that keying one horse in the BC is not a good idea. I just haven't been completely convinced since it has worked for me also.
Sorry guys. I'll start concentrating this week and should have some ideas by Wednesday.
Reggie (no login)
Re: *Sprint ~ (Reggie) sloppyj, Quick Call, GAM
October 26 2004, 9:05 AM
Here's my take as of this morning gang.
Midas Eyes - Is there anyway of finding out before the race if he'll be on bute? Look at his pp's when he's off the Bute he runs big ones.
Clock Stopper - Don't see him winning, but must respect consistency.
Cuvee - I see him returning to 2yo form. He'll punish those close enough to smell the vapor trails, hopefully he's tight enough now to stick around afterwards....lol.
Cajun Beat - Ex-champ got a prep in last that was better visually to me than it looks on paper. To me this guy looked like he was toiling on the backstretch only to make a mild move up the rail as they were entering the stretch. 2nd time Frankelshakes might do the trick.
Reggie (no login)
Let's Start Tallying it Up
October 28 2004, 6:51 PM
Ok Team,
Let's get a current status check of everyone's top 4:
The last time I'll be checking the board will be sometime early Saturday morning ~8:30 a.m. so we have until then. If you all would like to 'Cap up until race time I can e-mail you guys my cell and we can talk as the day progresses so we can see how the track is fairing. Either way works for me. I feel very confident about our chances!