This is not a stellar field [no pun intended] tri wheel plays such as a/bcd/all are in order, as everyone is capable of running a deuce. IRS signer potential, LMAO.
Ashado: 2-1 likely fav. Huge 3.5 top into a big neg number. Regardless of what HP thinks, Pletcher hosses do bounce, especially when entering minus territory with big moves. Purge, Value Plus, Speightstown, Balto Star immediately come to mind. This is a 3yo filly and big numbers usually hurt. Repeat of # wins easy, but inclined to use only in bottom of tri's & supers. Didn't beat much in Cotillion [wide, wide trip] Stellar Jayne, Society Selection have beaten her.
Bare Necessities: 40-1 Not the same horse since leaving W. Dollase [imagine that!?!] but a return to a 2 [not out of the question with the layoff which seems to help] gives her a shot at the bottom of tri/super.
Elloluv: 60-1 Far too many 'bi' notations on the chart; figure in Ladys Secret wouldn't threaten a good 40k field of claimers, but previous 'could contend' for a share.
Hollywood Story: 30-1 hit her 2yo top in Holly BC Oaks and ran fair in the following turf race. Again, a return to the 2.5 can grab a share. Shireffs 54% top/pair 90+ day layoff.
Indy Groove: 40-1 Only hoss in field besides Ashado with improving #'s. Million dollar daughter of AP Indy is getting good at the right time. Del Mar effort a toss. Many eastern horses are bothered by silent ground tremors. Trainer Proctor pulled a Distaff shocker 10yrs ago with One Dreamer. Looks tons better on the sheets than Beyer. Inside PP draw would help tremendously, has enuff speed to keep others outside. Love this horse at a huge price.
Island Fashion: 5-1 not a very fast # in Ladys Secret. If she returns to her earlier season form, solid contender. T-stat has Polanco 55% t/p 2nd off lay [why can't I believe this is only 10th time he has had a horse 2nd off the lay....] 46% t/p 11-29 day category.
Nebraska Tornado: 12-1 ND on top, RAN on bottom of pedigree says she'll take to the dirt. This isn't a tuff field by any stretch, a win wouldn't surprise me at all. Granted she's not the same hoss as last year, but dirt wake up? Impossible to ignore. Hit her top in last....
Society Selection: 7/2 chased Sightseek to no avail in last after pairing small neg #'s. Perhaps she needed the race after a brief layoff? Perhaps in same boat as I.F.
Stellar Jayne: 9/2 Needs a vacation, lol. returned to top in last, a pt slower than Indy
will take money and solid shot at exotics.
Storm Flag Flying: 5-1 victim of too fast, too early, took 20 months to break thru 2yo top and has settled in 2 range since, don't see her winning, but like others, has a shot at a slice.
Tamweel: 8-1, has averaged an 0.75 over last three, better than most of them in here. Amazing what a change to certain trainers can do, lol. Battled Azeri to no avail in last. Inside post would help chances, could make every pole a winner.
I'll wheel Indy in all 3 slots. When the post positions come in, I'll have a better idea for the "bcd" in the tri; likely Nebraska, Tamweel and Island.
Later,
May they all come home safely!
