Open for discussion.Maybe for starters we can each come up with our top pick.If we each have a different runner that'll be our 4 horse box.If not we'll go from there.
Besides Film Maker I'm really struggling with the rest of the race due to the possible soft conditions.
I like Wend a lot,but I don't think she wants it soft.Wonder Again should be in the top 3 or 4 unless she throws a clunker.You're guessing with Ouija Board as to whether she's the same horse as last year.Same with Favourable Terms.Megahertz is always there and I expect her to at least be competitive even though the turf will be softer than she wants it(didn't pick her feet up at Lone Star,but did at Arlington)
Flip Flop has a decent post and could be in the mix.Angara likes the soft,but has two bad races in a row and an awful post.Intercontinental has distance and turf condition issues.Mona Lisa looks like she hates soft or yielding.Riskaverse can throw a good or bad race-you never know with her,thats why I like Film Maker-she always fires.Luas Line and Karens Caper don't get me excited
I like a few in here for sure, but I'm going to pick just one and throw her out there as a potential tri-crasher.
Riskaverse.
As Big mentioned, she's obviously had her problems finding the board this year, but prior to that, this gal was as consistent as they come. I read that she has had some injury problems going back the the beginning of the summer, which could explain her reluctance to give her usual best. But she put it all together in the Flower Bowl (again), granted with a perfect trip, at Belmont, a place she loves, and the wet grass shouldn't have any impact on her.
There's another reason to give Riskaverse consideration. In a little over a week after the Breeders Cup, she enters the sales ring. It doesn't take an Einstein to figure out that all her connections want this one very badly for obvious reasons. Not to say that they all don't want it, but this is a little extra added incentive.
Besides, I love her and always have, and I let her get off at 35-1 in the Flower Bowl without a dime on her. I guarantee you that won't happen again at any overlaid odds she might happen to be.
With apologies for any negative comments I make about a team member's selection, my analysis.
Luas Line - Early foot, too far, lacks class
Film Maker - Legit closer, good post, class ?
Sundrop - Not with counterfeit money
Riskaverse - 13-5-2-1 @ BEL, good post
Wend - Bad race on soft, bad races with 123lbs
Flip Flop - Will flop
Wonder Again - Legit closer
Megahertz - Want to love her, but soft & not CA.
Favourable Terms - No good effort in Group race this year
Intercontinental - Might be best speed, but class & dist ?
Mona Lisa - Early foot, lacks class
Karen's Caper - Chance off last(1st lasix), never 1.25M
Ouija Board - Defending champ
Angara - My pick if I can convince myself Bravo was the problem in last.
If this seems like a repeat well it is a cut paste from
Pas's Precisionist thread.
F&M Turf: I'm guessing that the absolute best the course will be is "good" and on the soft side of that, most likely yielding. There's a possibility of some more (light) rain tomorrow evening. Anyway you cut it, there's going to be some give to the ground. So:
Wonder Again gets my top spot at the moment even though I'm not all that enthralled with Edgar.
Riskaverse should be get a good trip and Ouija while I'm not sure about I also feel compelled to use because of Bailey. None of the others really thrill me for the top spot.
Film Maker is always in the hunt and will certainly be on my personal tickets.
