As I said in the turf thread, not many new tops outside of the euro 3yos. Here are how some of the 3yos who ran well did it.
Notable 3yo's (*= filly)from the Turf routes for Older
Conduit 1st 08 (Euro, 2.75 top)
Passage of Time* 3rd '07 (Euro, 3.25 top)
Shamdinan 2nd '07 (US, paired prev. top)
Red Rocks 1st '06 (Euro, 4.75 pt top)
Oujia Board* 1st '04 (Euro, 0.25 pt top)
Kitten's Joy 2nd '04 (US, 0.25 off prev. top)
L'Ancresse* 2nd '03 (Euro, 2.75 pt top)
Yesterday* 3rd '03 (Euro, paired prev. top)
Islington* 3rd '02 (Euro, paired prev. top)
High Chaparral 1st '02 (Euro 1.75 pt top)
Banks Hill* 1st '01 (Euro, 3.25 pt top)
Spring Oak* 3rd '01 (Euro, 2.5 pt top)
Milan 2nd '01 (Euro, 4.75 pt top)
Spain* 1st '00 (US, 2 pt top)
A 3-4 point top for a 3yo euro is not out of the question and is often the key to making this race pay.
|
|
US/EURO |
AGE |
Last |
Top |
Adj Top |
|
Forever Together |
US |
5 |
4.25 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
|
Dynaforce |
US |
6 |
12.5 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
|
Pure Clan |
US |
4 |
2.75 |
2 |
2 |
|
Dar Re Mi |
Euro |
4 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
|
Magical Fantasy |
US |
4 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
|
Ruthienne |
US |
5 |
2.75 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
|
Rainbow View |
Euro |
3 |
5.75 |
3.75 |
2.95 |
|
Visit |
US |
4 |
3.25 |
3 |
3 |
|
Midday |
Euro |
3 |
5 |
4.25 |
3.45 |
|
Maram |
US |
3 |
6 |
6 |
5.2 |
Dar Re Mi ~ Probably going in Turf
Dynaforce ~ Second best top, draw a line though the last on account of the boggy conditions. Figs arent as good as last year, but she did win the Bev. D. Odd that she has not worked yet off her last. Useable
Forever Together ~ Fast closing loss going a mile last time got a slowish fig. Ill give her a pass. Is the fastest coming in my a bit, and has run that number 3 times. Dont see any reason she cant do it again. Contender.
Magical Fantasy ~ Got the win last time over this trip, but bore in in that one while running a small new top. Would prefer she had a little longer to recover. Could get a piece with a good trip. Not much value though as the likely second choice if DRM goes in the turf. PASS
Maram ~ Winner of last year Juvenile filly turf, is slow on paper but only making her 3rd start of the year. A healthy 3 yo should get back to their 2 yo top in at least the first 2 starts, she paired it in both. It would have been nice if they were a bit faster, but it does set up a possible explosive pattern. I would venture to say this pattern is a lot more like the euros who have run new tops, than the US based horses. Most of ours wouldnt be here off a 2 race US campaign. Not sure she could run a top big enough to win, but ITM isnt out of the question. Useable
Midday ~ A pretty solid top for a Euro 3yo. A bit slower then Rainbow view, but a little ran one less time this fall. If she get lasix and likes the firmer ground the 3-4 point top that happens fairly often with this type puts her right there. Contender
Pure Clan ~ Has really been on her game this year. Not quite as fast as the Favorite, but certainly consistent and proven at the distance. A little odd that her only career off the board finish came here last year. Useable/borderline contender
Rainbow View ~ Seemed like the perfect setup last time at Woodbine, and she couldnt hold on. Will be coming back kind of quick here. Sibling by AP Indy, Just As Well ran some big numbers turf routing as an older horse. Potential is there for some development, the question is when. Short rest, and the lack of improvement last time have me doubting her. Pass or maybe include on deep tickets.
Ruthienne ~ Makes her first try past 9f, and has done most of her damage in @ 8.5f. The have been keeping her a little closer to the pace this year, and got a couple troubled trips as a result. Tough to put her above the ones more proven at the distance. Pass
Visit ~ Slowest of the older horse still hasnt gotten back to her 3yo top. Hard to believe with how close she has been to G1s that she has never won in the US or past 7f. Pass
Summary:
Contenders: Forever Together, Midday, Pure Clan
Useable: Maram, Dynaforce
