So I'll Have Another was the best horse in the 2012 Kentucky Derby based on the Thoro-Graph figs with Creative Cause 2nd? I guess the SA Derby was indeed the best prep race this year then. I can live with that.
Don't forget about Liason and Paynter. Clearly the SAD was the best Derby prep this year.
But it's a little early to declare SoCal superiority. Not much separated the top 5 Derby finishers. The West All-Stars, after absorbing a thorough whuppin' in the Juvenile last year, have jumped out to the early lead for 3YO bragging rights. But a lot of races remain to be run. I doubt the East All-Stars -- led by Dullahan, Went/Well, Rags and Hansen -- are gonna wave the white flag just yet.
Vagrant- you give me Bode, IHA and CC and I'll give you any 4 east coast three year old runners and 3:2 odds for the rest of the year with key races being Preakness, Belmont, Travers, Jockey Club and BC. Usually, I have no affinity for anything out of the west coast but sprinters. This year? Different story.
Edited for goofy iPhone spelling.
This message has been edited by JBaker826 on May 10, 2012 7:44 PM
I'd have to agree the California contingent is stronger. For now.
They're literally in front with the East Coast horses hoping to come from behind.
But it's still early in the year and I'll wait through the Saratoga meet before waving any flags. Went The Day Well went the Derby pretty well in a wide trip just 1-2 paths inside of the wide trip CC got.
Not to sound cynical but i have to wonder with the Tgraph boys having entered the industry as owners/consultants versus merely watching from the outside and giving reviews if there numbers arent more and more swayed or massaged to downplay events that they may not have exactly predicted by way of their prognostication........do you think maybe they didnt want some of these horses to be thought of that well. I believe i will trust my eyes. I give the top 3 or 4 higher numbers.
The track was very fast. The final time was unremarkable (less than a half-second faster than average). I don't see how that adds up to a great speed figure.
1.25 isn't a bad fig. Doesn't matter anyway. This ain't gymnastics or figure skating. Judges don't decide who wins or loses. Horses do. IHA ran fast enough to hit the wire first. That's all that matters, right?
Besides, even if IHA got a negative-1.25, it doesn't change a thing. Everything is relative; the other horses' numbers would be faster too.