There is another low system heading this way.

Prediction: Winds SW 20 km/h

Lake Erie off Buffalo is now about 65 degrees F.

If this system has an air mass that isn't warmer than 78 degrees F than the surf could be bigger. If the air is in the ninties then the waves will probably be smaller.

The Lake Erie temperature is continuing to climb in temperature.


We need wind and rain here for surf riding and for growing the home garden veggies. It has been a windless and dry Spring here. I believe that Duluth is seeing drought like conditions. This effects the lake levels.

WIVB TV is about 15 miles from Area 51.

Tuesday's predictions from WIVB TV Buffalo at 11 p.m. for Tuesday are:

SW winds 15-30 mph.

Air Temperatures will be 82-88 degrees.


The front will move through around 4 p.m. on Tuesday are trigger heavy thunder storm activity. At present west of here there are weather watch boxes on this low system moving eastward.


The tricky part is this again like last week.


Lake Erie might reach 66 or 68 degrees tomorrow with the warm sunshine and temperatures reaching into maybe the 90's F.


So let's say on Tuesday Lake Erie on the eastern deeper end of the lake reaches 68 degrees F and the air temperature reaches 88 degrees.


88
-68

=20 degrees difference. That means that the wind will be hot and rise above the lake's waters.

My gut feeling is that the air mass will cool with the rain and the wind will have an opportunity to create at least short duration surf over perhaps 1 metre/3 feet towards the afternnon and evening. This is all my guessing and I do not have a degree in weather forcasting. Therefore as always the best rule of thumb is to take your best direction and guidence off of what the P.C. buoy is doing. Also remember the P.C. buoy is ten miles offshore and in deeper water where the waves get biggest.

Another thing everyone should be aware of now and that is the fact that lightening hits on the buoy often fry the components every year and take the buoy offline. If that happens it is always best to depend on eyes on the ground reports. Cell phones are everywhere today and calling ones buds and having them pass the word via the phone and here on this web site and on Origin are greatly appreciated in our surfing community.

Waves less than 1 metre building to 1 to 2 metres near noon

This storm is hereby named the Tuesday white stripe down the back storm.