Fall (Oscar) season is about to begin in August, what films do you think will succeed and what others will continue the tradition of disappointment set by films like All the King's Men and Proof?
Re: Fall(en) contenders: which ones will rise and which ones will fall?
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July 25 2007, 11:53 PM
So glad that Becoming Jane was included in the possible flops. I thought the trailer looked quite bad and I don't see how Hathaway can pull off an actress nod. Most of the contenders in the Best Actress category on this site are a little bit of a long shot, besides Jolie and the possible Blanchett. I think Berry will fall short, as will Knightly and Norah Jones has very little chance.
Glad to see Paul Haggi's In the Valley of Elah quite high on the list. I'm a huge fan of Haggis' Crash, as well as his phenominal script-writing skills. The trailer is the most impressive of the year so far, and Haggis will no doubt get his "yearly nomination" in at least one category.
Also glad to see The Savages in the "most likely to succeed. Along with In the Valley of Elah, The Savages is one of my most anticipated films for this year. Looks great!
I'm almost tempted to call Lions for Lambs a flop, (which wasn't included in this list because of it's November release date) but I'm still holding out and wishing that it'll be something great. With luck, Streep will redeem the whole picture as she usually does.
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Watch the trailers for RENDITION and LIONS FOR LAMBS ... i'm strating to think about a possible nomination for Streep. ATONEMENT's trailer gives a very great first look at the movie and all the performances (especially Knightley, McAvoy and Garai).
I've some difficulties to imagine Kidman getting a nod. Her previous works were so disappointing, and Margot seems very little. I think the only nod for this one will be in the screenplay category, maybe supporting Actress.
I also hope for Julianne Moore to make a last minute entry in the top 5 with Savage Grace, and i keep on thinking that Blanchett will eclypse all the competition. GOLDEN AGE's trailer is so impressive, as seems to be her performance. Some people said that remakes and sequels weren't Academy's favorties, but tell me what were THE DEPARTED or even BEFORE SUNSET ? I think GOLDEN AGE has got many many chances.
Angelina Jolie's MIGHTY HEART was released to much early, and Norah Jones is not likely to get a nod for the "sure-to-be-a-mess" My Blueberry Nights.
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I really think that these two great actors will recieve recognition for this role; the trailer looks promising, and Ridley Scott DEFINATELY deserves an oscar for at least this film...we don't want another Martin Scorcesse do we??
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I can't believe that you just compared the great Martin Scorsese to Ridlet Scott in any way. Scott is, at best, a mediocre director who decides to direct a great movie every so often. Scorsese hasn't done a BAD movie (like Kingdom of Heaven or Black Hawk Down) in his whole career. Scorsese also can be credited, along with Coppola, Spielberg, and Lucas for making movies so popular in the 70's and 80's. Who cares if Scott goes Oscar-less? I don't really.
I also don't really think that Crowe and Washington are really that close to a nomination. Crowe may get nominated since he was snubbed for Cinderella Man, but Washington won for Training Day, more or less the same character.
It will be interesting to see how those two guys fare, but comparing Scott to Scorsese will never have any merit what so ever. That was quite a bad statement in my opinion.
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Re: Fall(en) contenders: which ones will rise and which ones will fall?
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August 9 2007, 10:54 AM
What about Molly Shannon in "Year of the Dog"?
I think this was a case where release date doomed the film. It definitely has a shot at the Golden Globes and the Independent Spirit Awards.
Critics generally agreed that she gave her best performance and it's a shame that Mike White's extremely intriguing female characters (Jennifer Aniston as Justine and Molly Shannon as Peggy) continue to go unnoticed by the Academy. Not to mention, these actresses are never noted for the prestige in the business so his roles allow them to explore creative depths and, especially in the case of Jennifer Aniston, prove that they can act. I think this alone is noteworthy.
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