Here is my full list of nominees.

Best Actor
Most Likely:
***Peter O'Toole, Venus
Ryan Gosling, Half Nelson
Edward Norton, The Painted Veil
Will Smith, The Pursuit of Happyness
Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland

Possible Surprises:
Sacha Baron Cohen, Borat
Derek Luke, Catch a Fire
Aaron Eckhardt, Thank You for Smoking
Will Ferrell, Stranger than Fiction
Leonardo DiCaprio, Blood Diamond

Unlikely:
Toby Jones, Infamous
Jamie Foxx, Dreamgirls
Joshua Jackson, Aurora Borealis
Patrick Wilson, Little Children
Richard Griffiths, The History Boys


Best Actress

Most Likely:
***Helen Mirren, The Queen
Sienna Miller, Factory Girl
Kate Winslet, Little Children
Judi Dench, Notes on a Scandal
Meryl Streep, The Devil Wears Prada

Possible Surprises:
Penelope Cruz, Volver
Beyonce Knowles, Dreamgirls
Naomi Watts, The Painted Veil
Maggie Gyllenhaal, Sherrybaby
Annette Bening, Running with Scissors

Unlikely:
Jodie Whitaker, Venus
Renee Zellwegger, Miss Potter
Kirsten Dunst, Marie Atoinette
Cate Blanchett, The Good German
Gong Li, Curse of the Golden Flower

Best Supporting Actor

Most Likely:
Brad Pitt, Babel
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
***Jack Nicholson, The Departed
Adam Beach, Flags of our Fathers
Jackie Earle Haley, Little Children

Possible Surprises:
Daniel Craig, Infamous
Michael Sheen, The Queen
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Departed
Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
Donald Sutherland, Aurora Borealis

Unlikely:
Martin Sheen, Bobby
Ben Affleck, Hollywoodland
Steve Carell, Little Miss Sunshine
James McAvoy, The Last King of Scotland
Channing Tatum, A Guide to Recognizing Your Saints

Best Supporting Actress

Most Likely:
Sharon Stone, Bobby
Rinko Kikuchi, Babel
***Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
Cate Blanchett, Notes on a Scandal
Catherine O'Hara, For Your Consideration

Possible Surprises:
Adriana Barraza, Babel
Sandra Bullock, Infamous
Shareeka Epps, Half Nelson
Amber Tamblyn, Stephanie Daley
Abigail Breslin, Little Miss Sunshine

Unlikely:
Mary Beth Hurt, The Dead Girl
Jennifer Connelly, Little Children
Frances de la Tour, The History Boys
Maggie Gyllenhaal, World Trade Center
Lily Tomlin, A Prairie Home Companion

Best Director

Most Likely:
Bill Condon, Dreamgirls
Stephen Frears, The Queen
***Martin Scorsese, The Departed
Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Babel
Clint Eastwood, Letters from Iwo Jima

Possible Surprises:
Mel Gibson, Apocalypto
Ryan Fleck, Half Nelson
Pedro Almodovar, Volver
Todd Field, Little Children
Jonathan Dayton & Valerie Faris, Little Miss Sunshine

Unlikely:
Emilio Estevez, Bobby
Karen Moncrieff, The Dead Girl
Oliver Stone, World Trade Center
Zhang Yimou, Curse of the Golden Flower
Robert Altman, A Prairie Home Companion

Best Original Screenplay

Most Likely:
Peter Morgan, The Queen
Pedro Almodovar, Volver
Guillermo Arriaga, Babel
***Michael Arndt, Little Miss Sunshine
Eugene Levy & Christopher Guest, For Your Consideration

Possible Surprises:
Hanif Kureishi, Venus
Karen Moncrief, The Dead Girl
Zac Helm, Strangers Than Fiction
Anna Boden & Ryan Fleck, Half Nelson
C. Gaby Mitchell & Charles Leavitt, Blood Diamond

Unlikely:
Emilio Estevez, Bobby
Andrea Berloff, World Trade Center
Gabrielle Zevin, Conversations with Other Women
Dito Montiel, A Guide to Recognizing Your Saints
Dan Harmon, Rob Schrab, & Pamela Pettler, Monster House

Best Adapted Screenplay

Most Likely:
Bill Condon, Dreamgirls
William Monahan, The Departed
Ron Nyswaner, The Painted Veil
Jason Reitman, Thank You for Smoking
***Tom Perrotta & Todd Field, Little Children

Possible Surprises:
Alan Bennett, The History Boys
Patrick Marber, Notes on a Scandal
Iris Yamashita & Paul Haggis, Letters from Iwo Jima
Jeremy Brock & Peter Morgan, The Last King of Scotland
William Broyles Jr. & Paul Haggis, Flags of our Fathers


Unlikely:
Paul Attanasio, The Good German
Ryan Murphy, Running with Scissors
Nicole Holofcener, Friends with Money
Aline Brosh McKenna, The Devil Wears Prada
Ken LaZebnick & Garrison Keillor, A Prairie Home Companion

Best Motion Picture

Most Likely:
***Laurence Mark, Dreamgirls
Albert Berger, Ron Yerxa, & Todd Field, Little Children
Tracey Seward, Christine Lagan, & Andy Harries, The Queen
Jon Kilik, Steve Golin, & Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Babel
Robert Lorenz, Steven Spielberg, & Clint Eastwood, Letters from Iwo Jima

Possible Surprises:
Bruce Davey & Mel Gibson, Apocalypto
Brad Grey, Brad Pitt, & Graham King, The Departed
Edward Bass, Michael Litvak, & Holly Weirsma, Bobby
Marc Turteltaub, Albert Berger, & Ron Yerxa, Little Miss Sunshine
Robert Lorenz, Steven Spielberg, & Clint Eastwood, Flags of our Fathers

Unlikely:
Kevin Loader, The History Boys
Graham King, Marshall Herskovitz, & Edward Zwick, Blood Diamond
Jeremy Patricof, Alex Orlovsky, & Rosanne Korenberg, Half Nelson
Stacey Sher, Michael Shamburg, & Oliver Stone, World Trade Center
Lisa Byer, Andrea Calderwood, & Christine Rupert, The Last King of Scotland

Best Animated Film

Most Likely:
***Cars
Monster House
Over the Hedge

Possible Surprises:
Happy Feet
Open Season
Flushed Away
Ice Age: The Melt Down

Unlikely:
Renaissance
The Ant Bully
Curious George
A Scanner Darkly


To Be Continued...

Best Documentary
Most Likely:
Deborah Scanton, The War Tapes
James Longley, Iraq in Fragments
***Davis Guggenheim, An Inconvenient Truth
Cecilia Peck & Barbara Kopple, Shut Up & Sing
Patricia Foulkrod, The Ground Truth: After the Killing Ends

Also Possible:
Laura Poitras, My Country My Country
Rachel Grady & Heidi Ewing, Jesus Camp
Frank Popper, Can Mr. Smith Get to Washington Anymore?

Best Film Editing

Most Likely:
Virginia Katz, Dreamgirls
Joel Katz, Flags of our Fathers
***Thelma Schoonmaker, The Departed
Douglas Crise & Stephen Mirrione, Babel
Richard Pearson, Christopher Rouse, & Clare Douglas, United 93

Possible Surprises:
Richard Chew, Bobby
Lucia Zucchetti, The Queen
Sarah Flack, Marie Antoinette
Kevin Stitt & Jon Wright, Apocalypto
Justine Wright, The Last King of Scotland

Best Cinematography

Most Likely:
Dean Semler, Apocalypto
Lance Acord, Marie Antoinette
Tom Stern, Letters from Iwo Jima
Stuart Dryburgh, The Painted Veil
***Xioding Zhao, Curse of the Golden Flower

Possible Surprises:
Caleb Deschanel, Ask the Dust
Matthew Libatique, The Fountain
Tom Stern, Flags of our Fathers
Vilmos Zsigmond, The Black Dahlia
Dante Spinotti, X-Men: The Last Stand

Best Costumes

Most Likely:
Sharen Davis, Dreamgirls
xxxxxxxxxx, The Painted Veil
***Milena Canonero, Marie Antoinette
Deborah Hopper, Flags of our Fathers
Chung Man Lee, Curse of the Golden Flower

Possible Surprises:
Jenny Beaven, The Black Dahlia
Deborah Hopper, Letters from Iwo Jima
Patricia Field, The Devil Wears Prada
Catherine Marie Thomas, A Prairie Home Companion

Best Visual F/X

Most Likely:
***Superman Returns
X-Men: The Last Stand
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

Possible Surprises:
Poseidon
The Fountain
V for Vendetta
A Scanner Darkly
Flags for our Fathers

Best Art Direction

Most Likely:
Dreamgirls
***Pan's Labrynth
The Painted Veil
Marie Antoinette
Flags for our Fathers

Best Makeup

Most Likely:
Pan's Labrynth
Marie Antoinette
***Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

Best Original Score

Most Likely:
***James Horner, Apocalypto
Gustavo Santaolalla, Babel
Philip Glass, Notes on a Scandal
Gabriel Yared, The Lives of Others
Clint Eastwood, Flags of our Fathers

Best Original Song
Most Likely:
James Taylor & Randy Newman - "Our Town" - Cars
Chris Cornell - "You Know My Name" - Casino Royale
**Scott Cutler, Anne Previn, Henry Kreiger, & Beyonce Knowles - "Listen" - Dreamgirls

Possible Other nominees:
Ben Folds - "Family of Me" - Over the Hedge
Devotchka - "Till the End of Time" - Little Miss Sunshine
Seidah Garrett & Henry Kreiger - "Love You I Do" - Dreamgirls

Best Sound Recording
Cars
Apocalypto
Superman Returns
World Trade Center
***Flags of our Fathers

Best Sound Editing
Cars
***Superman Returns
Letters from Iwo Jima