Helena Bonham Carter (Sweeney todd)
Jennifer Connelly (Reservation Road)
Julia Roberts (Charlie Wilson's War)
Maggie Smith (Becoming Jane)
Natalie Portman (The Other Boleyn Girl)
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There is no need for HBC to go supporting. She doesn't need to be bumped down to make room for a bigger star (I'm looking at you Velma and Effie) there is Johnny Depp but he has a penis and won't be in her way for lead.
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well my source was from incontention.com which listed her as supporting...I'll change my prediction in the fall when we get a better idea about whats coming out and details..for now just disregard my errors
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1- JULIA ROBERTS (CHARLIE WILSON´S WAR)
2- GLENN CLOSE (EVENING)
3- JENNIFER CONNELLY (RESERVATION ROAD)
4- HELENA BONHAM CARTER (SWEENEY TODD)
5- SCARLETT JOHANSSON (THE OTHER BOLEYN GIRL)
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janifer jaison leigh - margot at the wedding
samantha morton - the golden age
mary-louise parker - the assassination of jesse james
vanessa redgrave - atonement
susan sarandon - in the valley of ellah
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#Best Supporting Actress
Cate Blanchett-I'm Not There
Helena Bonham Carter-Sweeney Todd
Julia Roberts-Charlie Wilson's War
Naomi Watts-Eastern Promises
Sarah Jessica Parker-Smart People
--------------------
Jane Fonda-Georgia Rule
Keira Knightley-Silk
Laura Linney-The Nanny Diaries
Michelle Pfeiffer-Stardust
Scarlett Johansson-The Other Boleyn Girl
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1) Helena Bonham Carter "Sweeney Todd"
2) Vanessa Redgrave "Evening"
3) Jennifer Connelly "Reservation Road"
4) Sigourney Weaver "The Tv Set"
5) Michelle Pfeiffer "Hairspray"
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Best Supporting Actress
1. Helena Bonham Carter - Sweeney Todd
2. Julia Roberts - Charlie Wilson's War
3. Michelle Pfeiffer - Hairspray
4. Scarlett Johansson - The Other Boleyn Girl
5. Vanessa Redgrave - Atonement
Chris Perkins
FYC - Running Miles
The Winner of a June Igloo Festival Award for Best Actress (Sanaa Lathan).
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Helena Bonham Carter - SWEENEY TODD
Jennifer Jason Leigh - MARGOT AT WEDDING
Samantha Morton - THE GOLDEN AGE
Vanessa Redgrave - ATONEMENT
Mira Sorvino - RESERVATION ROAD
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Jennifer Jason Leigh will definitely be a big contender for Margot at the Wedding. She looks great in the trailer and has been raved in a test screening review on Aint It Cool, so she should probably be on everyone's predix from now on. My guesses as of June:
Romola Garai - ATONEMENT
Jennifer Jason Leigh - MARGOT AT THE WEDDING
Samantha Morton - THE GOLDEN AGE
Cate Blanchett - I'M NOT THERE
Mira Sorvino - RESERVATION ROAD
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Agree that Jennifer Jason Leigh looks like a very strong contender now because of the trailer and advance screening review. She's also crazy-overdue for her first nomination, and she's the kind of dark horse who could sneak in out of nowhere and win on her first nod.
1. Jennifer Jason Leigh - MARGOT AT THE WEDDING
2. Romola Garai - ATONEMENT
3. Helena Bonham Carter - SWEENEY TODD
4. Evan Rachel Wood - IN BLOOM
5. Saoirse Ronan - ATONEMENT
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Well this year it wud be interesting to see if a long overdue actress might get an oscar..since this year there seems to be a bunch of them..
1.GLENN CLOSE-EVENING
2.S.WEAVER-THE T.V. SET
3.MICHELLE PFEIFFER-HAIRSPRAY
4.JULIANNE MOORE-I'M NOT THERE
5.SAMANTHA MORTON-THE GOLDEN AGE
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Best Supporting Actress
-Queen Latifah (HAIRSPRAY)
-Abbie Cornish (THE GOLDEN AGE)
-Romola Garai (ATONEMENT)
-Jennifer Jason Leigh (MARGOT AT THE WEDDING)
-Tilda Swinton (MICHAEL CLAYTON)
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Romola Garai - Atonement (just saw the movie and she is BRILLIANT in it)
Abbie Cornish - The Golden Age
Jennifer Jason Leigh - Margot and the Wedding
Evan Rachel Wood - King of California/In Bloom
Naomi Watts - Eastern Promises
Atonement is great and James McAvoy is a show in for a nomination and so is Romola. Keira seems more difficult has she has just about 30 minutes on screen and is pretty much overshadowed by either James or Saorise and Romola.
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How about Kidman in The Golden Compass ? It's a big film, her character is rich, multy-layered, she plays a villain, and she seems to steal the show based on the five minutes footage that was shown at Comic-Con. Word of mouth from people who have watched some scenes from the movie is also very good. Basically everyone says it's great casting and she's sure to attract new fans.
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Jennifer Jason Leigh - Margot at thw Wedding
Jennifer Connelly - Reservation Road
Romola Garai - Atonement
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
Evan Rachel Wood - In Bloom
Alternates: Susan Sarandon ( just heard her screen time is very little ), Abbie Cornish, Samantha Morton ( same as Sarandon, her role nothing short of a cameo), Catalina Sandino Moreno.
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"
Atonement is great and James McAvoy is a show in for a nomination and so is Romola. Keira seems more difficult has she has just about 30 minutes on screen and is pretty much overshadowed by either James or Saorise and Romola."
How do you figure she is a show in for an Oscar nod? Her current chances right now are a bit iffy due to the fact that she had to SHARE a role with with a few other actresses. Keira had maybe only 30 or 40 minutes of screen time but that's irrelevant because she's still the leading lady. Romola as good as she was had to share the role with other actresses who are considered far more superior by the reviewers. Not to mention Romola's chances according to quite a few people as of now are up in the air. If anything Keira has a MUCh better chance due to all the good reviews that surround her and the buzz she is getting that's not even a FRACTION to Romola's.
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Not that it matters, because she and the film blew chunks all over the world.
I REALLY hope Nothing Is Private is released in time, so that Collette has a chance. She won't for Evening, sadly, even though she was one of the few bright spots.
Anyways....
Jennifer Jason Leigh, Margot at the Wedding
Kelly MacDonald, No Country for Old Men
Saiorse Ronan, Atonement
Susan Sarandon, In the Valley of Elah
Evan Rachel Wood, In Bloom
Alternates:
Abbie Cornish, Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
Sigourney Weaver, The TV Set
Circa May-June:
Toni Collette, Nothing Is Private
Jennifer Jason Leigh, Margot at the Wedding
Vanessa Redgrave, Atonement
Michelle Williams, Synecdoche, New York (but it'd never be finished in time)
Evan Rachel Wood, In Bloom
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Re: Who is James? And who taught him to talk like trash?
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September 6 2007, 1:25 AM
Jennifer Jason Leigh "Margot at the Wedding"
Helena Bonham Carter "Sweeney Todd"
Saoirse Ronan "Atonement"
Cate Blanchett "I'm Not There"
Abbie Cornish "The Golden Age"
Maybe:
Julia Roberts "Charlie Wilson's War"
Romola Garai "Atonement"
Tilda Swinton "Michael Clayton"
Mira Sorvino "Reservation Road"
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CATE BLANCHETT, I'M NOT THERE
Helena Bonham Carter, Sweeney Todd
Jennifer Jason Leigh, Margot at the Wedding
Samantha Morton, The Golden Age
Julia Roberts, Charlie Wilson's War
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Saoirse Ronan- Atonement
Cate Blanchett- I'm Not There
Susan Sarandon- In the Valley of Elah
Jennifer Jason Leigh- Margot at the Wedding
Helena Bonham Carter- Sweeney Todd
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CATE BLANCHETT, I'M NOT THERE
Helena Bonham Carter, Sweeney Todd
Jennifer Jason Leigh, Margot at the Wedding
Julia Roberts, Charlie Wilson's War
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
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-LISA KUDROW (P.S., I Love You)
-CATE BLANCHETT (I'm Not There)
-MAGGIE SMITH (Becoming Jane)
-MARYL STREEP (Lions for Lambs)
-SUSAN SARANDON (In The Valley of Ellah)
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Cate Blanchett- I'm Not There
Nicole Kidman- The Golden Compass
Jennifer Jason Leigh- Margot at the Wedding
Julia Roberts- Charlie Wilson's War
Saoirse Ronan- Atonement
Reasoning:
Blanchett and Leigh have earned plenty of buzz and are leading the pack. Leigh is seen as overdue for a nomination while Blanchett is having one of the best years in her career. Nicole Kidman should earn a nomination for the ever popular villain role especially if The Golden Compass earns a best picture nomination. Saoirse Ronan has earned raves from Cannes and should follow in the tradition of youngsters earning a nomination in this catergory. Finally Julia Roberts should earn a nomination while riding the Charlie Wilson's War wave.
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Helena Boham Carter, Sweeney Todd
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Jennifer Jason Leigh, Margot at the Wedding
Julia Roberts, Charlie Wilson's War
Mira Sorvino, Reservation Road
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Jennifer Jason Leigh (Margot at the Wedding)**
Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There)
Helena Bonham Carter (Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street)
Julia Roberts (Charlie Wilson's War)
Saoirse Ronan (Atonement)
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Jennifer Jason Leigh (Margot at the Wedding)**
Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There)
Nicole Kidman (The Golden Compass)
Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone)
Saoirse Ronan (Atonement)
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Julia Roberts (Charlie Wilson's War)
Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There)**
Nicole Kidman (The Golden Compass)
Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone)
Saoirse Ronan (Atonement)
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Nominations for Best supporting actress,in my opinion will be given to :
Helena Bonham Carter - Sweeney Todd
Cate Blanchett -I'm not there
Amy Ryan - Gone baby gone
Jennifer Jason Leigh - Margot at the wedding
Meryl Streep - Lions for lambs.
Winner : Helena Bonham Carter or Jennfer Jason Leigh
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This is my current predictions along with some I think can be pushed up.
Frontrunners:
1) Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
2) Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
3) Vanessa Redgrave - Atonement
4) Julia Roberts - Charlie Wilson's War
5) Jennifer Jason Leigh - Margot at the Wedding
Dark Horses:
6) Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
7) Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
8) Samantha Morton - Control
9) Ruby Dee - American Gangster
10) Kelly MacDonald - No Country For Old Men
Longshots (but don't count them out yet):
11) Ramola Garai - Atonement
12) Nicole Kidman - The Golden Compass
13) Michelle Pfeiffer - Hairspray
14) Susan Sarandon - In the Valley of Elah
15) Meryl Streep - Lions for Lamb
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Julia Roberts (Charlie Wilson's War)
Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There)**
Jennifer Jason Leigh (Margot at the Wedding)
Amy Ryan (Gone Baby Gone)
Saoirse Ronan (Atonement)
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Allison Janney (Juno)
Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There)**
Jennifer Jason Leigh (Margot at the Wedding)
Kelly Macdonald (No Country for Old Men)
Saoirse Ronan (Atonement)
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I'm probably CRAZY for saying this, but I'll say it anyway. Susan Sarandon has a shot at a nomination. Her first would be to ride the Amy Adams wave (if there is one) and be nominated for Queen Narissa in Enchanted. Another possibility, one that I think is a further shot than Enchanted would be a nomination for Joan Deerfield in In the Valley of Elah.
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I've seen "Enchanted" and while she is enjoyable, I think the Academy would really have to fall head over heels (and then some) in love with it for Susan Sarandon to get a nomination. She only has something like ten minutes of decent screen time. The rest is just her voicing the character.
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I must say i hope that Lisa Kudrow will get an Oscar Nomination one day. Maybe "PS,I LOVE YOU" is the film, but the chances are really small. But if KABLUEY ever get released i think she have a chance to get a nomination for that one.
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I'm also thinking that Lisa Kudrow deserves a nomination. I'm sure that Kabluey could be her vehicle but it need to be release of course. P.S., I love you...I'm really hoping this movie to become a hit. I saw the trailer and Lisa was the best, hilarious. If she's a scene stealer I think she could sneak in such a weak race as the supporting actress. Go Lisa!
FYC
Make a Memory
Actor - Johnny Depp
Supp. Actress - Kristin Scott Thomas
Supp. Actress - Carice van Houten
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Allison Janney (Juno)
Cate Blanchett (I'm Not There)**
Jennifer Jason Leigh (Margot at the Wedding)
Kelly Macdonald (No Country for Old Men)
Saoirse Ronan (Atonement)
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Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There*
Saoirse Ronan - Atonement
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Jennifer Jason Lee - Margot at the Wedding
Marisa Tomei - Before the Devil Knows You're Dead
Blanchett has this one, sorry everyone. she received an Indie Spirit nod, which she will probably win, so she's a lock at this point. Ronan has a lot of love, as does her film so her chances are extremely good. Amy Ryan has a very solid chance as this is the type of breakthrough nod that is common, also when she was on Jay Leno, he said to her "..come back when you get the nomination.." which makes feel like this is a done deal. JJL's buzz has been fading up until her Indie Spirit nod, he chances of winning this Oscar are gone, but her nomination is very likely. As for Marisa Tomei, her buzz, also the fact that i think the Academy will be looking to nominate this film as much as possible, along with her Indie Spirit nod for this could get her into the top 5 easily
ALTERNATES
Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
the buzz is there and she is an underrated actress, but i'm waiting for a serioud precursor nod first
Romola Garai - Atonement
i'm getting some double-nod vibes from this film (like Babel, Chicago) but time will tell
Ruby Dee - American Gangster
her chances are better than u might think, expecially if Russel Crowe gets some love
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I just saw Atonement and I think she was the best out of the three who played Briony. The other two were also very very good, but Redgrave provides, what I believe, the best and most heart-breaking scene in the whole movie. She brings understanding to the character that I didn't get from the other two.
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BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
2. Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
3. Tilda Swinton - Michael Clayton
4. Catherine Keener - Into the Wild
5. Ruby Dee - American Gangster
Alt: Saoirse Ronan - Atonement, Vanessa Redgrave - Atonement, and Julia Roberts - Charlie Wilson's War
1. Amy Ryan-Lock; Favorite for win
2. Cate Blanchett-Lock; Contender for win
3. Tilda Swinton-Lock; very vague possibility for win
4. Catherine Keener-Likely; No chance for win
5. Saorise Ronan-Possible; No chance for win
Possibilities for the 4th and 5th spots:
1. Ruby Dee- If they follow SAG's advice
2. Kelly MacDonald- If they go for No Country for Old Men full force
3. Jennifer Jason Leigh- If they go crazy
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Here are my choices for Best Supporting Actress 2007
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Jason Leigh - Margot At The Wedding
Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
Catherine Keener - Into The Wild
Marcia Gay Harden - The Mist
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Amy Ryan - Gone Baby Gone
This critical darling has just become the frontrunner while landing some key precursers (yay!).
Cate Blanchett - I'm Not There
It's a role that's pretty difficult to forget. The voters won't either.
Tilda Swinton
She's been riding the wave of buzz for a while now, and with her perfect trifecta of nods (BFCA, Golden Globe, SAG), I think she'll make the cut.
Catherine Keener - Into the Wild
I actually don't get why she's showing up, but a BFCA and SAG nod speak very loudly about her chances.
Ruby Dee - American Gangster
I had a feeling, once I saw the film, that she had a possiblilty of getting nominated. Her SAG nod just provided evidence for this feeling.
Possible Upset:
Saorise Ronan - Atonement
I actually think this race is pretty locked up and has no room for surprises. But if there were to be one, I think it would be from her. She's young talent, and that is always a positive. I really don't expect her name to be called, but if it had to happen, I would only be mildly surprised.
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