No offense to the person(s) who compose the site's main predictions but I am feeling that you are completely missing the pulse of awards buzz this year given the recent activity at festivals, I myself attended TIFF, recent preview screenings, and the films which no longer have a pulse buzzwise.
Here are my thoughts, I will attempt to be as respectful as I can, on each category as far as your predictions go:
1.) Best Picture
You actually did pretty good on these with the notable exception of Bright Star, which is getting nice, polite reviews, but nowhere near Best Picture type reviews. It can still sneak in though it is unlikely. I would replace it with Avatar, still has decent buzz despite the trailer, or Inglourious Basterds which has growing Oscar buzz and box office revenues, the best QT has seen since Pulp Fiction if not his best ever.
2.) Best Director
You also pretty much hit the nail on the head here, though I would replace Jackson with Eastwood, only because his films are always sight unseen contenders. Your top ten is pretty decent as well.
3.) Best Actor
Ouch, still beating the drum for Johnny Depp in Public Enemies, huh? The film, sorry to say is lifeless buzzwise and Depp may not even score a Globe nod despite being the HFPA's golden boy perrenial nominee. Same goes for Renner who, despite still having buzz, has been overshadowed by his fellow competitors. Stuhlbarg was phenominal but it'll be an uphill battle for him from day one as far as getting a nod goes. I'd replace those three with Matt Damon, who was phenominal in The Informant!, just hillarious and riveting throughout, Robert Duvall for Get Low whose buzz in Toronto was deafening, I wasnt around for The Apostle but if it was like this buzz wise he has the nod for sure. And i'd throw in Day-Lewis, for the pure fact he's starring in one of the big fall Oscar releases, a musical by the way, and he Daniel "F-ing" Day-Lewis. Your top ten is what it should be byt subtract Hugh Dancy and add in Colin Firth who was excellent in A Single Man, a career best from him, and he's better than Depp, Dancy or Stuhlbarg was.
4.) Best Actress
Your top ten is almost spot on but you need to get rid of Shohreh Aghdashloo and Tilda Swinton for Robin Wright Penn who got raves and Marion Cottilard whose buzz is pretty large given the test screening reactions. Otherwise your almost on track for best Actress though you really need to re-evaluate your top 5.
5.) Best Supporting Actor
You really need to stop picking wild cards for the sake of picking wild cards. Jeff Bridges, though very good in TMWSAG, is not nomination worthy in the film. Richard Kind was good in A Serious Man, but his role is a bit too small to merit any serious attention. And while Peter Capaldi was good, it just isnt going to happen for him. I would add Paul Schneider who was very good in Bright Star, Richard Gere whose buzz is pretty good for Amelia, and Bill Murray who got some great reviews for Get Low which could be a suprise contender in more than a few categories.
6.) Best Supporting Actress
Throw out Rachel Weisz for Vera Farmiga and youve got a top ten, though your top 5 needs working on. Cottilard could get in for Nine, but once again Public Enemies is a dead fish. It will be lucky to get a technical nomination right now, much less a main category nod. Vear Farmiga was amazing in Up in The Air and probably has a better shot than Kendrick who was also very good. I'd round out your top 5 with two for Nine: Cruz and Dench, two for Up in The Air: Farmiga and Kendrick and Precious' Mo'nique who was a revelation. I'd also get rid of Sophia Loren, her role in the film is too small and the buzz is eh on her performance.
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