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NFL percentage plays

July 27 2008 at 9:52 AM
big18741  (Login big18741)
UpInClass Member

Gonna post a bunch of these over the next month leading up to the regular season.

Based mostly on coaches who have been around for a while with a track record.For today:


CAROLINA PANTHERS/John Fox

72 % against the spread taking points on the road.When his starter is Jake Delhomme the percentage goes up to 78%.Last year they started off 3-0 in this role,but failed to cover their last 3 as road dogs as the QB situation deteriorated to 3rd and 4th stringers.

There should be more than a few games where Carolina is getting points as the visitor this season:

Week 1 at San Diego
Week 3 at Minnesota
Week 6 at Tampa Bay
Week 13 at Green Bay
Week 16 at NY Giants
Week 17 at New Orleans

Week 10 at Oakland they might be favored
Week 12 at Atlanta they should be favored

 
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spiderjohn
(Login spiderjohn)
UpInClass Member

Re: NFL percentage plays

August 5 2008, 9:21 AM 

thanx 4 the info, big.
All the best 2 ya this season.
Let's make this our best year ever!

 
 

(Login Boozer_1)
Stewards

Re: NFL percentage plays

August 5 2008, 9:17 PM 

Good stuff Big. Thanks. Quick question for you. I want to get back into betting football outside of my usual fantasy sickness. I used Statfox quite a bit during College hoops. Any particular sites that you recommend for info? Thanks.


    
This message has been edited by Boozer_1 on Aug 5, 2008 9:23 PM


 
 
big18741
(Login big18741)
UpInClass Member

Re: NFL percentage plays

August 5 2008, 9:20 PM 

Jacksonville Jaguars under Jack Del Rio:

14-2(87.5%) against the spread as an underdog in games where they have same season or previous year revenge.

Week 3 at Indianapolis

Fits the situation.

 
 

(Login big18741)
UpInClass Member

Re: NFL percentage plays

August 5 2008, 9:54 PM 

Mike

The Statfox gives you as much info or more than most so you'll get what you're looking for there in terms of statistics etc.

I find I do better when I don't get too buried in the team stats and rely more on other stuff,but that's just me.We usually get a good discussion going every week during the regular season so jump in-the more input the better.






 
 

(Login Boozer_1)
Stewards

Re: NFL percentage plays

August 6 2008, 3:14 AM 

Thanks for the response Big.

I'm not sure if I ever posted this site here, but it's a good link for anyone that doesn't have DirecTV and wants to watch various games.

http://www.channelsurfing.net/

No good for baseball, but usually has every NFL game and a bunch of College games. Good for College hoops and NBA as well.

It can be hit or miss if you use Firefox, but comes in fine using Internet Explorer.

 
 
big18741
(Login big18741)
UpInClass Member

Re: NFL percentage plays

August 15 2008, 7:58 AM 

Here's another.

DENVER BRONCOS-Mike Shanahan as a head coach has only four years where his teams had a losing record.Last season they went 7-9.

IN THE YEAR FOLLOWING IN GAMES AS AN UNDERDOG HE'S 14-7 OR 66% against the spread

WEEK 2 they figure to be a home dog vs SAN DIEGO who beat the crap out of them twice last season and taunted Jay Cutler.Broncos have been pointing to this one.

Week 7 they play at New England

Week 10 at Cleveland-the Browns should be favored

Week 13 at the Jets-where they could be a dog if the Jets have a decent record

Week 15 at Carolina who might be good and a favorite

Week 17 at San Diego who will be favored unless they collapsed this season.

 
 


(Premier Login Badactor)
Forum Owner

Mr. Big...

August 15 2008, 1:28 PM 

Talk to me about the Washington Redskins.
Do you think my team has a chance this year???

fwiw...
Dell's NFL LOCK OF THE SEASON:
Game 1 ~ take badactor's 'skins over timmye's world champion ny giants.

Remember, you heard it here first.

 
 
big18741
(Login big18741)
UpInClass Member

Re: NFL percentage plays

August 15 2008, 6:59 PM 

I have no idea what to do with the Redskins,but leaning to an under .500 season maybe around 6-10 or 7-9.

They might be okay if they stay healthy,but that sure is an old team for the most part,and I still don't know if Jason Campbell is ever going to be any good.Now he has to deal with another new system.

Gibbs usually got the Redskins playing their best football late in the year.He was a great bet in December.He was also very conservative the last few years so laying points with them was never a real good idea in most cases.

No feel for Zorn yet or the Redskins.They could get off to a rough start.It's conceivable they might be 0-5.

At Giants

New Orleans-improved from last year and a good road team

Arizona-very live team IMO

At Dallas

At Phila

Some nice players and talent in certain spots,but I think they could struggle in 08.


The one game I have circled where I could be betting the Redskins is Week 12 when they go to Seattle.I like Zorn going against his old team,and the Redskins have a little payback from the playoff loss last January.Seattle looks to be a little bit down to me this year,and the Redskins might be a better team in the second half of the season on offense as they get used to the West Coast style.


    
This message has been edited by big18741 on Aug 16, 2008 7:57 AM


 
 
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