Before you know it folks, the AP will have the big O' will be leading by 100%.
Latest AP Poll Sample Skews to Democrats by 17 Points
May 11, 2011 8:55 A.M. By Jim Geraghty
Tags: Barack Obama, Polling
Wow! The AP poll has Obamas approval rating hitting 60 percent! And 53 percent say he deserves to be reelected!
And on the economy, 52 percent approve of the way Obamas handling it, and only 47 percent disapprove! Hes up 5446 on approval of how hes handling health care! On unemployment, 52 percent approval, 47 percent disapproval! 57 percent approval on handling Libya! Even on the deficit, hes at 47 percent approval, 52 percent disapproval!
It is a poll of adults, which isnt surprising; as I mentioned yesterday, you dont have to be a registered or likely voter to have an opinion on the president.
But then you get to the party ID: 46 percent identify as Democrat or leaning Democrat, 29 percent identify as Republican or leaning Republican, 4 percent identify as purely independent leaning towards neither party, and 20 percent answered, I dont know.
For contrast, the APs immediate preceding poll was 45 percent Democrat, 33 percent Republican; the likely-voter pool in October 2010 was 43 percent Democrat, 48 percent Republican. The polls total sample in October 2010 split 43 percent Democrat, 40 percent Republican.
With a poll sample that has a 17-percentage-point margin in favor of the Democrats, is anyone surprised that these results look like a David Axelrod dream?
(Interestingly, George W. Bush is at 50 percent approval, 49 percent disapproval, even in this sample wildly weighted in favor of the Democrats.)