All Chuave, the election according to the analysis below has proved itself. However, should we accept this win accordingly? Please share your views.
Top 5 June 5 2012, 7:01 PM
All Chuave requesting me for Top 5, it has taken so long to conclude. It’s been a hard work. As I have alerted you in my last posting, the Candidates were inches above each other. The selection of who has made it into the Top 5 was done through so many interviews, considering Council Wards per LLG (Chuave, Elimbari & Siane Rural LLG), gathering supporters views/comments, Analyzing Money Players, Number of Candidates contesting per wards/LLG and looking at the last election winning Margin. Sincere apology to those of you who waited so long for the update. Below I present to you our Top 5 Candidates for the Chuave Open 2012 National Election.
TOP 5 JUNE 5th 2012
1. Wera Mori (maintained)
2. Johannes Tokua (Pilot)(new inclusion)
3. Philip Khon Digan (new inclusion)
4. Jim Nomane (from 5th place)
5. Michael Dick (from 2nd place)
1. Wera Mori
-A big-name in Chuave Central and Simbu including entire Highlands region
-A leader with the capacity to manage his company well -can do for Chuave too
-Has been playing so much money -people say 'kaikai na givim'
-Had recently dished out K50 000 into Kebai which is made up on Wards 1&2 in Chuave LLG.
-Has been dishing out so much money lately. People from all over chuave have come and go as individuals & in groups to receive.
-His home is right at the Gateway (Whitehouse), hence this puts him at the spot of attraction especially for those who need money.
-He's staging his campaign house at Waramai -formerly Workshop for Kapuo Zero. This is another hot spot he chooses in order to catch those who are from this side of Chuave
-Maintained his number one position among those who played money game this election. Interviewees agreed that Wera is campaigning on only 'one gold bar'. With today’s gold price of 1556USD/Ounce, it is estimated to be around K4000 000 (K1556 =4000US$ X 1000Grams =K4 000 000)
-Like any other intending candidates, he has been on the front line assisting in funeral services, and other community related issues
-Has come to the top of my list regardless of some allegation on the Highlands Highway Rehabilitation Plan. This is a national issue and people in the remote villages and those who do not have access to the media are unaware of this issue so he is the choice for 2012
-Even though he does not have big base vote, he is sure to collect from all over Chuave
-Has an estimate base vote of 600 out of 1500 from Ward 4. Rival Jacob Bi Kai is sure to collect majority of this but still he’s got the 2nd preference.
-His challenge will come from Kumo Peter Launa -once Simbu Governor. Peter said, when he was the Governor, it was Wera Mori who teamed up with Joseph Onguglo to oust him so now is time for payback. However, from the ground work, Peter's Clan (Komogam) of Kamare are fed up with Peter's lies during his term as Governor. Seems that they all moved to Were Mori.
-He is sure to collect Most 2's from Chuave Central which is made up of 13 wards.
-Of course will definitely collect 2 form other Wards with his buying votes strategy
2. Johannes Tokua (Pilot)
-The ground work into each candidates shows Johannes topple every other first time candidates in Chuave.
-Pilot by profession has made into the 2nd place in the race.
-Can talk and convince people.
-Has started his campaign since 2009 June.
-Has Network and supporters all over Chuave
-Has admitted/supported people through funeral services, school fee assistance, supplied school materials since then through his network
-His Front men will never leave him because they are all on his pay roll. Whether they come from Siane or Elimbari, they admitted their 1st preference for him because he's been with them for so long and they have benefited in one way of the other like none other candidate would do for them.
-He hails from Ward 8 Council in Chuave LLG. Has a base vote of 1454.
-Since no candidates contesting from Ward 9 with a population of 900 (Kinugu/Mainamo). The Wards 8&9 combined with full support according to people interviewed. Presumably, 2300+ is a no go zone.
-Contrary to Wera Mori who dish out money into groups/hausline of people, Johannes is paying individuals cash. Those who received from him come as far as Suagawa which is the base vote for Wai Iarume. Why they come? Because they had great leaders like Late David Goro Mai, Late Buckly Iarume & now they don’t want another Late >>>>>???.
-Johannes has also received support from Ward 18 in the Siane LLG once used to be a base vote for Alfred Rongo. Lately Alfred has showed full support for Johannes. This was a payback to a rival candidate for Alfred who never gave him a single chance in the past elections.
-His rival candidate from Ward 8 -Mr Rocky Buno declared to the people that he nominated just to please his endorsing party as a Shadow candidate for Jim Nomane in the PNC led by O'Neil. This disperse all doubts about Ward 8 breakup.
-The tension between Wera Mori & David Mori from Ward 7 in Chuave LLG sees David team up with Johannes. This is because they believe in the same ancestral migration. The two wards have names Gomia 1 & Gomia 2. They claim as 'eagles' having one wing as Gomia 1 and the other as Gomia 2. Johannes is sure to strip away 2nd from Ward 7 (Gomia 1).
-The big duma which has the highest population figures in the Chuave LLG sees 6 candidates putting their hands up. 3 from ward 10 and the other 3 are related families from ward 12. Due to this break up, the people in the middle (Ward 11) withdrew their support for their 6 candidates. The interviewees were frustrated because the candidates did not follow the people's wishes since they have the winning figure compared to last election of 7800 with 35 candidates in 2007. Ward 11 is eying to the MAN from the Valley -Johannes Tokua (Pilot).
-Chuave having 43 candidates nominated -an increase of 8% compared to 2007, the winning margin had dropped to around + or - 5000. With the alarming support in the ground work research, Johannes Tokua (Pilot) is a potential Candidate.
-He’s has to work hard to step into areas he has not set his foot, look into areas he has not set his eyes so he could give a good race to Wera Mori.
3. Philip Khon Digan
-Geologist By Profession who made it into the race at 3rd place
-Unbelievable like Johannes Tokua (Pilot) is another first timer but a man with strong campaign policies
-Has been claiming himself to be an answer to the needs of East/West Elimbari
-He received most of the Support from Both East & West Elimbari. He was the man behind the Goiri Cement Factory Project. His campaign has won the hearts of many people who testified in the interviews conducted so far.
-Since East/West Elimbari lacks basic services, and development has not taken place in this part of Chuave, Philip Khon Digan was tipped to be the next MP for Chuave.
-He has started with a vision and people say he will do the rest
-Philip Khon Digan hails from Wards 5,6&7 in the West Elimbari Rural LLG which also sees Timothy Komane, Alois Toko and Tony Sipa raising their hands. Despite the likely break up, the ground work concluded that Philip will score the most. Why Teimai Timothy dropped? The answer is indigestible however, its consumable. During the Last Election Teimai Timothy who hails from Ward 6 came 2nd place. His people regretted his loss and shifted the blame to a rival candidate and a fight broke which took some lives and properties destroyed. Most of these were from Wards 1, 2 & 3 who were behind Teimai Timothy. But when it comes to the time of 'Brukim Suka' ceremony, Teimai Timothy never showed himself as a leader to lead the people into true peace making. He also did not contribute to the compensations as expected by the people. Now, they turned their back on him and put Philip Khon Digan's Poster on every door of their house.
-To make situations worse, Teimai Timothy rival Tony Sipa were In-Laws and are expected to share votes from their wards. This has diminished his chances and sadly pushed him out of the race.
-Philip has been in the mining field for so many years and has supporters and cronies all over Chuave like other top candidates.
-Since the Cement project is at the Border between Duma and Mam, he has received support from wards 10,11 and 12 as well.
-His Challenge will come from JKB Construction owner Nime Aus. He was tipped second preference from the people interviewed during this analysis.
4. Jim Nomane
-Has made one step up from my last analysis by grabbing Michael Dick from second place and pushed him under his feet. The work into Siane is always a fatigue type.
-Has cronies and Supporters all over chuave but now many candidates from his base votes are raising their hand, however still has the chance to collect 2 & 3
-His the man for O’Neil’s Party in the come 2012 election. He was out of the top 5 but since people are now looking towards the O’Neil government -he made his way back. He will be pushing for free education & health care in the O’Neil party's policy if he make it back to parliament.
-Having seen the benefits of Developments that are currently underway in PNG, O’Neil wants PNC to lead the Government again after 2012 election so they can harvest the blessing of the Land. Hence, Jim has been sweating day and night to maintain his cronies as well as advancing into raw areas. From sources, Jim is Teaming up with Candidates such as David Mori from Chuave LLG. David is hosting his Campaign house at the former Waramai Wholesale –opposite Wera Mori’s. Jim is also teaming up with Rocky Buno from Ward 8 in Chuave LLG. He has also teamed up with couple of Candidates from East/West Elimbari. He is likely to fund their elections so he could claim their 2nd preferences.
-Additionally, Jim has a down-to-earth character which most people interviewed expressed their 'easy to talk to' attitude towards Jim.
-Jim has his office bearers from 2007 till now as the frontlines in this year’s election. He is sure to collect most 2nd through them.
5. Michael Dick
-He has made into the top 5 form nowhere. The ground work into Siane took so long to conclude which most people interviewed had shown their support for Michael Dick
-He has been a big name in Siane as well as Chuave & East/West Elimbari
-Has contested past elections and has supporters and cronies all over chuave
-Siane having the highest Population in Chuave electorate and is made up of 27 wards, he's ward made up of 1/4. He has a solid block vote.
-Having learnt from previous mistakes, he had been putting his foot, hands, eyes and ears where he had never done before especially in Siane wide.
-Among many intending candidates for Siane LLG, he was tipped for 2012.
-His challenge will come from Current sitting Member -Hon Jim Nomane & Former Chuave MP. Mr. Yauwe Riong
-Among the many potential leaders of Siane, Michael Dick was tipped for outstanding leadership at the community level.
-With 17 candidates contesting from the Siane Rural LLG, the chances of Michael Dick has dropped as well as other candidates. The win is likely to come from Chuave or West Elimbari. However, Siane having the biggest population in Chuave and from history have sent MP's into parliament with their last minute decision, Michael dick will be a choice
-The ground work has placed him on 5th place.
The MP elect for Chuave produced as a result of the current national general election is not a people's choice but rather a fake leadership thus the whole election is not free and fair b'cause large sum of money is dished out and votes collected.
Unless the MP elect- Mr. Wera Mori is serious about developing Chuave then we should be okay, otherwise he might have his own hidden motive and desire and we will be left out in terms of infrustructures.
Once again the people of Chuave are to blame themselves in accepting bribes.
Agree with Anti-Bribery. I support whoever willing to take the win to court. There is sufficient evidence to prove right. I urge all candidates and supporters to provide solid evidence to support their case. W.Mori is not a Leader, he is a manager. He will fill his pocket to grow MRL.
Analyst, you have done a terrific job to keep us updated and to have created an environment for users to argue and debate and to share views.
As for me my horse raced home and I am happy. I know over the next 5 years will be tough but at least many more people will be blessed and will have a moment of happiness because of the elected member. He is not a selfish person and he has Chuave at heart. He is a born leader and I am sure he will deliver.
A big thank you to all those who have the confidence in him to vote for him. Every corner of Chuave voted for him which can only mean that people wanted change and have chosen a man who is capable enough to make the change.
People of Chuave be prepared and embrase change because change is coming!
can any one update us on this blog how our newly elected mp for chuave is fading, no news of him during the period leading up to the formation and after the formation of the oneill government, our mp is highly educated/qualified, senior and a very rich man by dishing out heavy cash in the election, he may have sank into polye's tailored outfit, missing out great time,we have high hopes through his election gymics, however we are begining to see no difference at all comparing him to nomane,riyong and the other formers,many new and old mps whom are less qualified than him are speaking and planning that are making headline news, election is over and action time already began.why keeping low profile??.
The way you're describing him, he sounds like a spiv. I don't think we want to see him being given any high responsibility in government. We can't have the whole nation suffer just because Chuave elected a rich, educated scumbag as their rep.
The MP elect is busy repaying his election debts and clearing his name, Don Polyes and Joel Lumas on the HHRP payments from Mangiro to Southern Highlands.
Don Polye told him to clear up their names before he can give him a ministry and as for Chuave electorate he says he is going to make it become the seventh state of Australa. Once it becomes athe seventh state of Aussie then everybody will be on the dole and Australia will be looking after Chuave District.
Wera paid people to believe in the "Seventh State" hogwash. In fact people did not think that far, they only reasoned as far as the money he gave. Man oh man, we have a lot of unbelievably lazy people in Chuave.
I can complain about services but because of my laziness I sold my vote to candidates, because of this I accept the fact that I have no say over how Wera's District is run; he has paid for it, by the way.....
I dont want to be in this position come every five years, please people, change this attitude.
sorry the people of chuave, siane and elimbari, election is over and we all know that wera mori bought himself out the seat therefore we must wait patiently for the next five years regardless of recieving services or not until 2017 we can decide again, we can not complain any more because we were not forced at gun point to choose but a FREE WILLPOWER INFLUENCE BY MONEY.
Ha ha ha ha the new member for chuave comitted 1 million kina to build houses for the drug addicts and homeless youths roaming around the road side of chuave as reported in today's post courier pp 5, It is one top priority to build such houses this moment??.
Until every one of you educated young elites of Chuave band together and publicly oppose candidates, the likes of Wera Mori, Chuave will continue to be fed to the dogs and we will have continous by elections leaving our poor folks out in the dark every five years. They will continue to die from simple preventable sicknes due to lack of access to basic health care. The root cause of this may just be the voting system, by the time of my comment here, more than 101 election petitions had been registered. The system of of voting invited candidates to go out and buy 2nd and 3rd preference votes, people were openly going about selling their 2nd and 3rd preference votes. Maybe we should go back to the one vote system.
I am from Keu and I am talking about Chuave Open Seat and the election, I am on the right forum to discuss this. Your pea size brain cannot accomodate what I am discussing so you are resorting to swearing!!. You appear to be someone who cannot discuss things constructively in such a public forum. You probably go to War Mai and bury your head in the gravel there and hope you drown and do not live to swear in a public forum like this.
You may want to know too that there are smart, smart Chuave born,bred and rised educated elites around that you cannot evade with your vote buying tactics.. The Chuave Open election win by Wera Mori is now officially registered as a dispute with the courts and unfortunately Chuave has to go to the polls again. Wera did not cover up his tracks well enough so he will be found guilty, I am sorry to say
Cool down, take a breath, have a glass of cold water, think constructive and write your thoughts. I happen to have gone to university together with Wera Mori at UPNG in the same class/year and he knows me by my first name and I have every respect for the gentlement. But this is politics and you will agree with me that his election campaign did not potray him as a leader but a vote buying fake leader. That is the message I am trying to bring across to you son!.
That is not to say he may not turn out to be a leader, time will tell whether he is. Otherwise have your say in whatever manner you feel compfortable with, you have your right to express your opinion like every one else. Note that in doing so you also potray your true being and identity to decent people who visit this forum who will also read your comments and form an opnion of you. My opinion of you is not good or high at all. This is an experience for you to learn.
I, for one do not get bothered the slightest by such childish comments, because these conmments are just that, childish, and no child ever gets in my way!
again the honarobol newly elected member is going around all the settlements in pom city and buying support from the settlement dwellers from chuave to rally behind him and force former member jim nomane to dithdraw the election petition that he filed which into the second hearing, MP yu cashim inap ya lusim nature na kot mekim wok lon pinisim election.
The "Honourble" member has been petitioned; I believe there will be a bye-election. Can someone give us a list of those candidates who were contesting this full election that we don't want to be contesting the bye-election.
Wera knows fully well that the court will throw him out that is why he is desperately lobbying for support from the gulliable Suawes living in the settlements of Pom. Only a fool would go and mobilze people with the same thinking pattern.
It is premature, but Wera's conduct goes to show that he is a very, very desperate man and he will not stop at any thing.
Jim Nomane has a very high success rate in all his election disputes and this one looks certain to be another. David Anggo and Yahweh Riyong will bear witness. Wera Mori will be the next vicitm.
Who the hell are you to select who will stand and who will not stand, you making a mockery of yourself. You might as well get drowned in Waram Mai. You forget we are in the 20th century and every and anyone that chooses to stand will stand, as long as he is over the legal age limit and is from Chuave!
Is anyone keeping up with the court case between Jim Nomae and Wera Mori they'd like to share with the rest of us.
Where are we with the court case? Is it progressing? Last I heard was about the directional hearing in the firs week of October. First hearing was scheduled then for November or December? And decision in January or February. Can someone shed some light on this please