Here we go with the second installment of the season where we compare the Bungs to each team on their 2011 schedule. Up this week -- the Denver Broncos. You knew this historical match-up would be ugly, and it sure is.
Overview, "In the Hunt" Futility Stats
- Weeks "in the hunt for a winning season" serves as a rough proxy for playoff contention. And thus for fans' hope and happiness. We ultimately want a championship, right?
- To be in the hunt, a team can be no more than one game below .500 with no more than seven losses.
- During the season, a team can fall out of the hunt and then climb back in.
- An example running won-loss record for five weeks: 1-0, 1-1, 1-2, 1-3, 2-3. This team was in the hunt after Weeks 1, 2, 3, and 5 (total = 4).
- Bye weeks are counted like any other week in the season. For example, the Bungs get a freebie if a bye comes while they're still in it. Why? This is all about the fans' experience. (By the way, there were two byes in '93.)
- Adjusted "percent weeks in the hunt" throws out the first week, as all teams get an automatic freebie.
- The time period covers Mike Brown's ownership on the Cincinnati Bengals franchise, counting complete seasons (1991-2000).
Bengals versus Broncos
- While the Bungs were almost never in the hunt over the past 20 years (30% on average), the Broncos were almost always in (84% on average).
- Throw out the Bungs three best years, and their average is 18%. Throw out the Broncos three worst
years, and their average is... 96%.
- A "good" year, we might say, consists of being in the hunt at least 80% of the time. The Bung have had three, count 'em, three such years since 1991. The Broncos have had 16.
- We could go on, but anyone can see the stark contrast. (All cited averages were compiled from adjusted percentages.)